Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Daria Kasatkina v Anna Kalinskaya

Início: 2026-07-28 19:36 UTC

Final: Daria Kasatkina 0–2 Anna Kalinskaya

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Daria Kasatkina (Local)

Previsão 35.58%2.81odd justa
EV +2.46%
Vantagem +0.855%
Kelly +1.31%
Crescimento +0.032%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.87%37.00%35.66%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.832.632.652.8854.64%38.04%37.74%34.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Anna Kalinskaya (Visitante)

Previsão 64.42%1.55odd justa
EV +20.47%
Vantagem +10.95%
Kelly +23.53%
Crescimento +4.82%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%63.00%64.34%67.13%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.411.481.451.8770.92%67.72%68.97%53.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Daria Kasatkina (Local): 35.58%; Anna Kalinskaya (Visitante): 64.42%. Para Anna Kalinskaya (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.55. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.87, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +20.47%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -33.47%E -17.90%K -38.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +20.47%E +10.95%K +23.53%G +4.82%7.0%2026-07-28 19:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -34.89%E -19.07%K -42.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV +17.89%E +9.78%K +21.56%G +3.86%9.3%2026-07-28 19:34
Dabble (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -9.28%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.08%E -1.37%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 18:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.46%EV -2.87%E -1.05%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.54%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-28 17:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.46%EV -2.87%E -1.05%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.54%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-28 17:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-28 15:59
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-28 19:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -6.43%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 16:00
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.79%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 05:45
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.79%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 19:34
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.28%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 18:34
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.06%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 19:34
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.06%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 02:30
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.06%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 19:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.06%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 19:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.06%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.37%E -2.24%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 19:34
Pinnacle🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 34.65%EV -0.028%E -0.010%K -0.015%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.35%EV -4.01%E -2.69%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-28 19:30
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 15:59
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 18:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 17:44
ReBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 18:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 17:45
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.50%E -2.88%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.50%E -2.88%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.65%E -3.14%K -9.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 17:45
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.30%E -3.60%K -11.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 19:34
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.30%E -3.60%K -11.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 15:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.30%E -3.60%K -11.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 17:44
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.94%E -4.07%K -12.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 19:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.94%E -4.07%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 19:34
BetUS🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.384%E -0.137%K -0.213%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 19:09
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.16%E -0.786%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 18:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 19:35
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 19:34
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 19:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 19:35
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 19:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 19:34
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 19:34
Bally Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 19:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 19:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 19:34
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 19:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 19:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 19:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 19:34
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 17:50
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.50%E -2.88%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-28 19:35
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.50%E -2.88%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-28 19:34
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.50%E -2.88%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.59%E -4.54%K -14.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-28 17:44
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.16%E -0.786%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 17:48
SportsBet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.12%EV -5.36%E -2.02%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.88%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 16:00
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -6.43%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-28 15:59
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.79%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-28 15:58
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.79%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-28 17:45
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.79%E -2.59%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-28 17:45
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.50%E -2.88%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-28 19:33
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.50%E -2.88%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.23%E -5.02%K -16.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-28 19:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -6.43%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -7.88%E -5.51%K -18.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-28 19:34
DraftKings🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV +2.46%E +0.855%K +1.31%G +0.032%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -9.16%E -6.50%K -22.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 19:34
NetBet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -3.94%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -9.16%E -6.50%K -22.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-28 19:29
Fliff🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -5.72%E -2.16%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -9.16%E -6.50%K -22.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-28 19:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%0.3%2026-07-28 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%0.3%2026-07-28 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%0.3%2026-07-28 19:35
Novig2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%0.8%2026-07-28 19:30
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%0.9%2026-07-28 19:34
ProphetX2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%1.9%2026-07-28 19:30
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74%2.8%2026-07-28 19:35