L’École des cotes

Daria Kasatkina v Anna Kalinskaya

2026-07-28 15:00 UTC — WTA Washington Open

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Daria Kasatkina (Local)

Prévision 38.79%2.58cote équitable
EV +0.843%
Avantage +0.324%
Kelly +0.527%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.27%38.89%38.78%41.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.392.382.6044.44%41.90%42.02%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Anna Kalinskaya (Visiteur)

Prévision 61.21%1.63cote équitable
EV -1.45%
Avantage -0.898%
Kelly -2.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.76%61.11%61.22%63.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.421.551.561.6170.42%64.51%64.31%62.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +0.843%E +0.324%K +0.527%G +0.004%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -9.40%E -6.35%K -19.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 09:40
FanDuel2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -2.26%E -0.897%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.73%E -3.72%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 09:31
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.04%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.12%E -3.30%K -9.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 13:55
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -3.04%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.95%E -4.58%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 13:50
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.04%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.18%E -5.45%K -16.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 09:05
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.04%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.18%E -5.45%K -16.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 09:01
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -3.04%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -9.40%E -6.35%K -19.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 12:30
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -3.04%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -9.40%E -6.35%K -19.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 12:30
Betsson2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -4.20%E -1.70%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -6.34%E -4.15%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 09:45
NordicBet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -4.20%E -1.70%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -6.34%E -4.15%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 09:45
SportsBet2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -4.20%E -1.70%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -8.18%E -5.45%K -16.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 09:25
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-27 13:55
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.95%E -4.58%K -13.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-27 09:25
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.95%E -4.58%K -13.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-27 12:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.97%E -2.03%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.95%E -4.58%K -13.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-27 12:25
DraftKings2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -5.36%E -2.20%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 09:04
1xBet2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -5.36%E -2.20%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 12:55
Bet Right2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.14%E -2.54%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 13:55
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.12%E -3.30%K -9.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 13:55
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.12%E -3.30%K -9.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 13:55
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.95%E -4.58%K -13.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 12:50
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -6.91%E -2.88%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.83%EV -13.08%E -9.21%K -31.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-27 09:35
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 09:04
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 09:05
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 09:10
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.34%E -4.15%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-27 09:03
betano_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.34%E -4.15%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-27 09:15
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -7.69%E -3.23%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -8.18%E -5.45%K -16.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-27 12:20
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.85%E -3.77%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.51%E -2.89%K -8.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 13:55
ReBet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -8.85%E -3.77%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -9.40%E -6.35%K -19.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-27 09:31
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -8.85%E -3.77%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -9.40%E -6.35%K -19.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-27 09:35
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.45%E -0.898%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 09:05
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.45%E -0.898%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 09:04
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.45%E -0.898%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 09:05
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.45%E -0.898%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 09:05
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.45%E -0.898%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 09:05
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.45%E -0.898%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 09:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.45%E -0.898%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 09:05
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.45%E -0.898%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 09:05
Bally Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.45%E -0.898%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 09:04
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.45%E -0.898%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 09:05
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.45%E -0.898%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 09:05
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.45%E -0.898%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 09:05
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.45%E -0.898%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 09:05
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -10.79%E -4.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 61.17%EV -10.63%E -7.28%K -23.10%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-27 09:25
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -11.57%E -5.07%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -2.06%E -1.29%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 09:04
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -11.57%E -5.07%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -2.06%E -1.29%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 09:04
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.73%E -5.66%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -3.89%E -2.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 09:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 39.20%1.47I 68.03%NM 60.80%11.9%2026-07-27 12:40
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%1.42I 70.42%NM 61.83%13.9%2026-07-27 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 48.63%1.42I 70.42%NM 51.37%37.1%2026-07-27 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 48.63%1.42I 70.42%NM 51.37%37.1%2026-07-27 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 48.63%1.42I 70.42%NM 51.37%37.1%2026-07-27 13:35