預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Naomi Osaka v Katerina Siniakova

開賽時間: 2026-09-03 15:37 UTC

最終賽果: Naomi Osaka 2–1 Katerina Siniakova

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

64 家博彩公司 (21 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Naomi Osaka (主隊)

預測 76.86%1.30公平賠率
EV -2.39%
優勢 -1.88%
Kelly -8.84%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.27

博彩公司預測分布
74.60%76.87%76.92%79.31%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.201.241.241.2783.33%80.62%80.65%78.74%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Katerina Siniakova (客隊)

預測 23.14%4.32公平賠率
EV +6.44%
優勢 +1.40%
Kelly +1.79%
成長率 +0.115%

假設最高賠率為 4.60

博彩公司預測分布
20.69%23.13%23.08%25.40%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.704.034.004.6027.03%24.81%25.00%21.74%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Naomi Osaka (主隊):76.86%;Katerina Siniakova (客隊):23.14%。 對於「Katerina Siniakova (客隊)」,該估計相當於4.32的公平十進位賠率。 當時有7家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為4.60,對應+6.44%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (64 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼利潤率更新時間
FanDuel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -7.00%E -5.78%K -33.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +6.44%E +1.40%K +1.79%G +0.115%4.4%2026-09-03 15:10
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.77%E -6.47%K -38.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +6.44%E +1.40%K +1.79%G +0.115%5.1%2026-09-03 15:05
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.77%E -6.47%K -38.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +4.13%E +0.917%K +1.18%G +0.049%5.6%2026-09-03 15:05
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.77%E -6.47%K -38.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +4.13%E +0.917%K +1.18%G +0.049%5.6%2026-09-03 15:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.77%E -6.47%K -38.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +4.13%E +0.917%K +1.18%G +0.049%5.6%2026-09-03 15:05
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74%EV -3.16%E -2.50%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%EV +1.81%E +0.412%K +0.533%G +0.010%2.1%2026-09-03 15:10
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +0.192%E +0.044%K +0.058%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 15:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.69%E -3.78%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.502%E -0.117%K -0.152%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-03 14:20
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.69%E -3.78%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -1.66%E -0.390%K -0.511%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 14:10
BetUS🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.66%E -0.390%K -0.511%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 15:20
DraftKings🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.61%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.39%EV -2.12%E -0.502%K -0.657%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 15:20
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.16%E -2.50%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -2.82%E -0.671%K -0.880%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-03 15:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.69%E -3.78%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.82%E -0.671%K -0.880%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 14:19
BetAnything🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.69%E -3.78%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.82%E -0.671%K -0.880%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 15:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.46%E -4.44%K -23.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.82%E -0.671%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 14:21
MyBookie.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.46%E -4.44%K -23.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.82%E -0.671%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -7.00%E -5.78%K -33.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -2.82%E -0.671%K -0.880%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 15:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.77%E -6.47%K -38.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.82%E -0.671%K -0.880%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 15:25
GTbets🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.31%EV -5.46%E -4.44%K -23.74%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.69%EV -3.05%E -0.727%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 15:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -5.46%E -4.44%K -23.74%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -3.97%E -0.957%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 14:20
NordicBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.15%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.85%EV -4.67%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:20
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.15%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.85%EV -4.67%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:21
Bet Right🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.69%E -3.78%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.13%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:10
theScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.46%E -4.44%K -23.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.13%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 14:20
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.13%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 14:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.13%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 09:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.13%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 15:25
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -3.92%E -3.14%K -15.70%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 15:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.16%E -2.50%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 08:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.16%E -2.50%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 08:10
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.92%E -3.14%K -15.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 15:15
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.92%E -3.14%K -15.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 15:05
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.92%E -3.14%K -15.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 15:05
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.69%E -3.78%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 15:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.69%E -3.78%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 15:10
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.69%E -3.78%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.46%E -4.44%K -23.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 15:25
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 15:25
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 14:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 15:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 15:25
Fliff🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -5.46%E -4.44%K -23.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -8.60%E -2.18%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 15:25
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.92%E -3.14%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.76%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.92%E -3.14%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.76%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.76%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 14:10
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.76%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 14:10
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.92%E -3.14%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.07%E -3.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 14:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:45
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:45
Grosvenor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:40
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:45
Casumo🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:45
TABtouch🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:45
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:45
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:43
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 10:55
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.92%E -3.14%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 15:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -3.16%E -2.50%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -14.39%E -3.89%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 08:55
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-09-03 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-09-03 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-09-03 14:30
Matchbook◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-09-03 14:20
Novig◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-09-03 15:05
ProphetX◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.69%1.3%2026-09-03 15:05
Smarkets◎1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%3.0%2026-09-03 15:10