StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Naomi Osaka v Katerina Siniakova

Matchstart: 2026-09-03 15:37 UTC

Slutresultat: Naomi Osaka 2–1 Katerina Siniakova

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

64 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Naomi Osaka (Hemma)

Prognos 76.86%1.30rättvist odds
EV -2.39%
Fördel -1.88%
Kelly -8.84%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.27

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
74.60%76.87%76.92%79.31%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.201.241.241.2783.33%80.62%80.65%78.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Katerina Siniakova (Borta)

Prognos 23.14%4.32rättvist odds
EV +6.44%
Fördel +1.40%
Kelly +1.79%
Tillväxt +0.115%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
20.69%23.13%23.08%25.40%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.704.034.004.6027.03%24.81%25.00%21.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Naomi Osaka (Hemma): 76.86%; Katerina Siniakova (Borta): 23.14%. För Katerina Siniakova (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.32. 7 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.60, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +6.44%.

Spelbolagsodds (64 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -7.00%E -5.78%K -33.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +6.44%E +1.40%K +1.79%G +0.115%4.4%2026-09-03 15:10
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.77%E -6.47%K -38.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +6.44%E +1.40%K +1.79%G +0.115%5.1%2026-09-03 15:05
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.77%E -6.47%K -38.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +4.13%E +0.917%K +1.18%G +0.049%5.6%2026-09-03 15:05
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.77%E -6.47%K -38.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +4.13%E +0.917%K +1.18%G +0.049%5.6%2026-09-03 15:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.77%E -6.47%K -38.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +4.13%E +0.917%K +1.18%G +0.049%5.6%2026-09-03 15:05
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74%EV -3.16%E -2.50%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%EV +1.81%E +0.412%K +0.533%G +0.010%2.1%2026-09-03 15:10
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +0.192%E +0.044%K +0.058%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 15:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.69%E -3.78%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.502%E -0.117%K -0.152%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-03 14:20
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.69%E -3.78%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -1.66%E -0.390%K -0.511%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 14:10
BetUS🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.66%E -0.390%K -0.511%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 15:20
DraftKings🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.61%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.39%EV -2.12%E -0.502%K -0.657%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 15:20
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.16%E -2.50%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -2.82%E -0.671%K -0.880%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-03 15:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.69%E -3.78%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.82%E -0.671%K -0.880%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 14:19
BetAnything🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.69%E -3.78%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.82%E -0.671%K -0.880%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 15:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.46%E -4.44%K -23.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.82%E -0.671%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 14:21
MyBookie.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.46%E -4.44%K -23.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.82%E -0.671%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -7.00%E -5.78%K -33.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -2.82%E -0.671%K -0.880%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 15:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.77%E -6.47%K -38.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.82%E -0.671%K -0.880%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 15:25
GTbets🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.31%EV -5.46%E -4.44%K -23.74%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.69%EV -3.05%E -0.727%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 15:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -5.46%E -4.44%K -23.74%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -3.97%E -0.957%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 14:20
NordicBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.15%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.85%EV -4.67%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:20
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.15%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.85%EV -4.67%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:21
Bet Right🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.69%E -3.78%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.13%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:10
theScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.46%E -4.44%K -23.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.13%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 14:20
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.13%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 14:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.13%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 09:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.13%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 15:25
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -3.92%E -3.14%K -15.70%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 15:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.16%E -2.50%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 08:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.16%E -2.50%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 08:10
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.92%E -3.14%K -15.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 15:15
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.92%E -3.14%K -15.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 15:05
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.92%E -3.14%K -15.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 15:05
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.69%E -3.78%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 15:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.69%E -3.78%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 15:10
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.69%E -3.78%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.46%E -4.44%K -23.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 15:25
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 15:25
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 14:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 15:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 15:25
Fliff🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -5.46%E -4.44%K -23.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -8.60%E -2.18%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 15:25
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.92%E -3.14%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.76%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.92%E -3.14%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.76%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.76%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 14:10
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.76%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 14:10
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.92%E -3.14%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.07%E -3.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 14:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:45
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:45
Grosvenor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:40
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:45
Casumo🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:45
TABtouch🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:45
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:45
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:43
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 10:55
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.92%E -3.14%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 15:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -3.16%E -2.50%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -14.39%E -3.89%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 08:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-09-03 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-09-03 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-09-03 14:30
Matchbook◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-09-03 14:20
Novig◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-09-03 15:05
ProphetX◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.69%1.3%2026-09-03 15:05
Smarkets◎1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%3.0%2026-09-03 15:10