Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Naomi Osaka v Katerina Siniakova

Początek: 2026-09-03 15:37 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Naomi Osaka 2–1 Katerina Siniakova

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

64 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Naomi Osaka (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 76.86%1.30kurs godziwy
EV -2.39%
Przewaga -1.88%
Kelly -8.84%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.27

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
74.60%76.87%76.92%79.31%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.201.241.241.2783.33%80.62%80.65%78.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Katerina Siniakova (Goście)

Prognoza 23.14%4.32kurs godziwy
EV +6.44%
Przewaga +1.40%
Kelly +1.79%
Wzrost +0.115%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.60

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
20.69%23.13%23.08%25.40%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.704.034.004.6027.03%24.81%25.00%21.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Naomi Osaka (Gospodarze): 76.86%; Katerina Siniakova (Goście): 23.14%. Dla wyniku Katerina Siniakova (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 4.32. 7 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 4.60, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +6.44%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
FanDuel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -7.00%E -5.78%K -33.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +6.44%E +1.40%K +1.79%G +0.115%4.4%2026-09-03 15:10
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.77%E -6.47%K -38.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +6.44%E +1.40%K +1.79%G +0.115%5.1%2026-09-03 15:05
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.77%E -6.47%K -38.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +4.13%E +0.917%K +1.18%G +0.049%5.6%2026-09-03 15:05
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.77%E -6.47%K -38.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +4.13%E +0.917%K +1.18%G +0.049%5.6%2026-09-03 15:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.77%E -6.47%K -38.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +4.13%E +0.917%K +1.18%G +0.049%5.6%2026-09-03 15:05
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74%EV -3.16%E -2.50%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%EV +1.81%E +0.412%K +0.533%G +0.010%2.1%2026-09-03 15:10
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +0.192%E +0.044%K +0.058%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 15:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.69%E -3.78%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.502%E -0.117%K -0.152%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-03 14:20
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.69%E -3.78%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -1.66%E -0.390%K -0.511%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 14:10
BetUS🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.66%E -0.390%K -0.511%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 15:20
DraftKings🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.61%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.39%EV -2.12%E -0.502%K -0.657%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 15:20
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.16%E -2.50%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -2.82%E -0.671%K -0.880%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-03 15:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.69%E -3.78%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.82%E -0.671%K -0.880%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 14:19
BetAnything🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.69%E -3.78%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.82%E -0.671%K -0.880%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 15:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.46%E -4.44%K -23.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.82%E -0.671%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 14:21
MyBookie.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.46%E -4.44%K -23.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.82%E -0.671%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -7.00%E -5.78%K -33.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -2.82%E -0.671%K -0.880%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 15:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.77%E -6.47%K -38.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.82%E -0.671%K -0.880%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 15:25
GTbets🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.31%EV -5.46%E -4.44%K -23.74%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.69%EV -3.05%E -0.727%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 15:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -5.46%E -4.44%K -23.74%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -3.97%E -0.957%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 14:20
NordicBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.15%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.85%EV -4.67%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:20
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.15%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.85%EV -4.67%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:21
Bet Right🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.69%E -3.78%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.13%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:10
theScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.46%E -4.44%K -23.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.13%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 14:20
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.13%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 14:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.13%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 09:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.13%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 15:25
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -3.92%E -3.14%K -15.70%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 15:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.16%E -2.50%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 08:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.16%E -2.50%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 08:10
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.92%E -3.14%K -15.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 15:15
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.92%E -3.14%K -15.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 15:05
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.92%E -3.14%K -15.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 15:05
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.69%E -3.78%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 15:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.69%E -3.78%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 15:10
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.69%E -3.78%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.46%E -4.44%K -23.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 15:25
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 15:25
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 14:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 15:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 15:25
Fliff🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -5.46%E -4.44%K -23.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -8.60%E -2.18%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 15:25
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.92%E -3.14%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.76%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.92%E -3.14%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.76%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.76%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 14:10
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.76%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 14:10
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.92%E -3.14%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.07%E -3.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 14:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:45
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:45
Grosvenor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:40
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:45
Casumo🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:45
TABtouch🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:45
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:45
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:43
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 10:55
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.92%E -3.14%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 15:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -3.16%E -2.50%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -14.39%E -3.89%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 08:55
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-09-03 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-09-03 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-09-03 14:30
Matchbook◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-09-03 14:20
Novig◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-09-03 15:05
ProphetX◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.69%1.3%2026-09-03 15:05
Smarkets◎1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%3.0%2026-09-03 15:10