Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Naomi Osaka v Katerina Siniakova

Inizio: 2026-09-03 15:37 UTC

Finale: Naomi Osaka 2–1 Katerina Siniakova

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Naomi Osaka (Casa)

Previsione 76.86%1.30quota equa
EV -2.39%
Vantaggio -1.88%
Kelly -8.84%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.27

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
74.60%76.87%76.92%79.31%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.201.241.241.2783.33%80.62%80.65%78.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Katerina Siniakova (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.14%4.32quota equa
EV +6.44%
Vantaggio +1.40%
Kelly +1.79%
Crescita +0.115%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.69%23.13%23.08%25.40%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.704.034.004.6027.03%24.81%25.00%21.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Naomi Osaka (Casa): 76.86%; Katerina Siniakova (Trasferta): 23.14%. Per Katerina Siniakova (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.32. 7 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.60, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +6.44%.

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
FanDuel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -7.00%E -5.78%K -33.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +6.44%E +1.40%K +1.79%G +0.115%4.4%2026-09-03 15:10
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.77%E -6.47%K -38.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +6.44%E +1.40%K +1.79%G +0.115%5.1%2026-09-03 15:05
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.77%E -6.47%K -38.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +4.13%E +0.917%K +1.18%G +0.049%5.6%2026-09-03 15:05
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.77%E -6.47%K -38.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +4.13%E +0.917%K +1.18%G +0.049%5.6%2026-09-03 15:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.77%E -6.47%K -38.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +4.13%E +0.917%K +1.18%G +0.049%5.6%2026-09-03 15:05
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74%EV -3.16%E -2.50%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%EV +1.81%E +0.412%K +0.533%G +0.010%2.1%2026-09-03 15:10
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +0.192%E +0.044%K +0.058%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 15:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.69%E -3.78%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.502%E -0.117%K -0.152%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-03 14:20
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.69%E -3.78%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -1.66%E -0.390%K -0.511%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 14:10
BetUS🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.66%E -0.390%K -0.511%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 15:20
DraftKings🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.61%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.39%EV -2.12%E -0.502%K -0.657%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 15:20
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.16%E -2.50%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -2.82%E -0.671%K -0.880%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-03 15:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.69%E -3.78%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.82%E -0.671%K -0.880%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 14:19
BetAnything🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.69%E -3.78%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.82%E -0.671%K -0.880%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 15:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.46%E -4.44%K -23.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.82%E -0.671%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 14:21
MyBookie.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.46%E -4.44%K -23.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.82%E -0.671%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -7.00%E -5.78%K -33.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -2.82%E -0.671%K -0.880%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 15:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.77%E -6.47%K -38.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.82%E -0.671%K -0.880%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 15:25
GTbets🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.31%EV -5.46%E -4.44%K -23.74%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.69%EV -3.05%E -0.727%K -0.955%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 15:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -5.46%E -4.44%K -23.74%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -3.97%E -0.957%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 14:20
NordicBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.15%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.85%EV -4.67%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:20
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.15%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.85%EV -4.67%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:21
Bet Right🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.69%E -3.78%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.13%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:10
theScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.46%E -4.44%K -23.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.13%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 14:20
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.13%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 14:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.13%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 09:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.13%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 15:25
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -3.92%E -3.14%K -15.70%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 15:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.16%E -2.50%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 08:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.16%E -2.50%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 08:10
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.92%E -3.14%K -15.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 15:15
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.92%E -3.14%K -15.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 15:05
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.92%E -3.14%K -15.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 15:05
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.69%E -3.78%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 15:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.69%E -3.78%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 15:10
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.69%E -3.78%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.46%E -4.44%K -23.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 15:25
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 15:25
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 14:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 15:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 15:25
Fliff🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -5.46%E -4.44%K -23.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -8.60%E -2.18%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 15:25
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.92%E -3.14%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.76%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.92%E -3.14%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.76%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.76%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 14:10
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.76%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 14:10
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.92%E -3.14%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.07%E -3.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 14:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:45
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:45
Grosvenor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:40
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:45
Casumo🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:45
TABtouch🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:45
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:45
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:43
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 13:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 10:55
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.92%E -3.14%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 15:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -3.16%E -2.50%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -14.39%E -3.89%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 08:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-09-03 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-09-03 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-09-03 14:30
Matchbook◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-09-03 14:20
Novig◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-09-03 15:05
ProphetX◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.69%1.3%2026-09-03 15:05
Smarkets◎1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%3.0%2026-09-03 15:10