语言:简体中文
Naomi Osaka v Katerina Siniakova
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Naomi Osaka (主队)
预测 76.86%1.30公平赔率
EV -2.39%
优势 -1.88%
Kelly -8.84%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.27
博彩公司预测分布
74.60%76.87%76.92%79.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.201.241.241.2783.33%80.62%80.65%78.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
Katerina Siniakova (客队)
预测 23.14%4.32公平赔率
EV +6.44%
优势 +1.40%
Kelly +1.79%
增长率 +0.115%
假设最高赔率为 4.60
博彩公司预测分布
20.69%23.13%23.08%25.40%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.704.034.004.6027.03%24.81%25.00%21.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Naomi Osaka (主队)：76.86%；Katerina Siniakova (客队)：23.14%。 对于“Katerina Siniakova (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.32。 当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.60，对应+6.44%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -7.00%E -5.78%K -33.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +6.44%E +1.40%K +1.79%G +0.115% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 15:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.77%E -6.47%K -38.83%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +6.44%E +1.40%K +1.79%G +0.115% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 15:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.77%E -6.47%K -38.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +4.13%E +0.917%K +1.18%G +0.049% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 15:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.77%E -6.47%K -38.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +4.13%E +0.917%K +1.18%G +0.049% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 15:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.77%E -6.47%K -38.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +4.13%E +0.917%K +1.18%G +0.049% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 15:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74%EV -3.16%E -2.50%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%EV +1.81%E +0.412%K +0.533%G +0.010% | 2.1% | 2026-09-03 15:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +0.192%E +0.044%K +0.058%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 15:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.69%E -3.78%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.502%E -0.117%K -0.152%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-03 14:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.69%E -3.78%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -1.66%E -0.390%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 14:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.66%E -0.390%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 15:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.61%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.39%EV -2.12%E -0.502%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 15:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.16%E -2.50%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -2.82%E -0.671%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-03 15:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.69%E -3.78%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.82%E -0.671%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 14:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.69%E -3.78%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.82%E -0.671%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 15:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.46%E -4.44%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.82%E -0.671%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 14:21 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.46%E -4.44%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.82%E -0.671%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -7.00%E -5.78%K -33.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -2.82%E -0.671%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 15:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.77%E -6.47%K -38.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.82%E -0.671%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 15:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.31%EV -5.46%E -4.44%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.69%EV -3.05%E -0.727%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 15:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -5.46%E -4.44%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -3.97%E -0.957%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 14:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.15%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 22.85%EV -4.67%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 14:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.15%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 22.85%EV -4.67%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 14:21 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.69%E -3.78%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.13%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.46%E -4.44%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.13%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 14:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.13%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 14:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.13%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 09:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.13%E -1.25%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 15:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -3.92%E -3.14%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 15:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.16%E -2.50%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 08:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.16%E -2.50%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 08:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.92%E -3.14%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 15:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.92%E -3.14%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 15:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.92%E -3.14%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 15:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.69%E -3.78%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 15:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.69%E -3.78%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 15:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.69%E -3.78%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 14:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.46%E -4.44%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 15:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 15:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 14:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 15:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 15:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -5.46%E -4.44%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -8.60%E -2.18%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 15:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.92%E -3.14%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.76%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.92%E -3.14%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.76%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.76%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-03 14:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.23%E -5.11%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.76%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-03 14:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.92%E -3.14%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.07%E -3.18%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 14:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:43 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 13:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.39%E -1.88%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 10:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.92%E -3.14%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 15:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -3.16%E -2.50%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -14.39%E -3.89%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 08:55 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 14:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 0.7% | 2026-09-03 15:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.69% | 1.3% | 2026-09-03 15:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10% | 3.0% | 2026-09-03 15:10 |