Language:English
Jasmine Paolini v Sorana Cirstea
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jasmine Paolini (Local)
Prediction 38.54%2.59fair odd
EV +0.196%
Edge +0.076%
Kelly +0.123%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.27%38.62%38.44%40.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.452.442.6042.02%40.85%40.98%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sorana Cirstea (Visit)
Prediction 61.46%1.63fair odd
EV -0.430%
Edge -0.266%
Kelly -0.694%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.50%61.38%61.56%63.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.561.561.6267.57%64.28%64.10%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jasmine Paolini (Local): 38.54%; Sorana Cirstea (Visit): 61.46%. For Jasmine Paolini (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.59. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.196%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +0.196%E +0.076%K +0.123%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -9.03%E -6.10%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 09:53 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -1.34%E -0.525%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -7.19%E -4.76%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 21:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -1.73%E -0.679%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -2.89%E -1.83%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -2.89%E -1.15%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.89%E -1.83%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -2.89%E -1.15%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 13:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -3.27%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 09:21 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 10:41 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.58%E -4.33%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -4.43%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -1.66%E -1.04%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -4.43%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -1.66%E -1.04%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.81%E -1.95%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 10:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -5.20%E -2.11%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 13:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 18:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.35%E -3.47%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.35%E -3.47%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.35%E -3.47%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 18:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 18:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 13:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -1.66%E -1.04%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 10:41 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 10:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 10:41 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -6.74%E -2.79%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -2.89%E -1.83%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -7.13%E -2.96%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 18:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 10:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -0.430%E -0.266%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28% | 0.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 0.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 0.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 0.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 17:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98% | 2.5% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |