StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jasmine Paolini v Sorana Cirstea

2026-09-04 15:00 UTC — WTA US Open

Direkter Vergleich

50 Wettanbieter (14 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jasmine Paolini (Heim)

Prognose 39.59%2.53faire Quote
EV +0.947%
Vorteil +0.371%
Kelly +0.611%
Wachstum +0.006%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.55

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
37.19%39.38%39.75%40.54%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.202.432.402.5545.45%41.19%41.67%39.22%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Sorana Cirstea (Auswärts)

Prognose 60.41%1.66faire Quote
EV -3.34%
Vorteil -2.09%
Kelly -5.57%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.60

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
59.46%60.62%60.25%62.81%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.501.541.551.6066.67%64.90%64.52%62.50%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Jasmine Paolini (Heim): 39.59%; Sorana Cirstea (Auswärts): 60.41%. Für Jasmine Paolini (Heim) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.53. 15 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 2.55 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +0.947%.

Wettanbieterquoten (50 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.947%E +0.371%K +0.611%G +0.006%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 19:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +0.947%E +0.371%K +0.611%G +0.006%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -8.17%E -5.38%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +0.947%E +0.371%K +0.611%G +0.006%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -8.17%E -5.38%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 18:55
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +0.947%E +0.371%K +0.611%G +0.006%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -8.17%E -5.38%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 18:55
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.947%E +0.371%K +0.611%G +0.006%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 18:55
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.947%E +0.371%K +0.611%G +0.006%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 18:55
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.947%E +0.371%K +0.611%G +0.006%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.947%E +0.371%K +0.611%G +0.006%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 18:55
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.947%E +0.371%K +0.611%G +0.006%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 18:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.947%E +0.371%K +0.611%G +0.006%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 18:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.947%E +0.371%K +0.611%G +0.006%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.947%E +0.371%K +0.611%G +0.006%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.947%E +0.371%K +0.611%G +0.006%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 18:55
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.947%E +0.371%K +0.611%G +0.006%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 18:55
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.947%E +0.371%K +0.611%G +0.006%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 18:55
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.03%E -0.413%K -0.688%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-02 19:09
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.03%E -0.413%K -0.688%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 19:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.03%E -0.413%K -0.688%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.38%E -6.25%K -18.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 18:55
1xBet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.52%EV -1.43%E -0.574%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.48%EV -5.76%E -3.69%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 19:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.50%EV -2.62%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.50%EV -6.96%E -4.52%K -12.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 19:35
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 19:09
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.38%E -6.25%K -18.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-02 17:55
Bet Right🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.20%E -1.74%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.76%E -3.69%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 19:10
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.76%E -3.69%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 17:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.76%E -3.69%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 19:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 19:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 19:00
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 22:05
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 20:55
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 19:10
DraftKings🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 19:00
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 19:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 20:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 20:35
MyBookie.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.76%E -3.69%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 17:59
GTbets🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -6.57%E -2.79%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.97%E -2.97%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 19:35
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.97%E -2.97%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 19:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.97%E -2.97%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 20:45
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.97%E -2.97%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 19:35
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.97%E -2.97%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.76%E -3.69%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 17:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.97%E -2.97%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 17:55
TAB🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.97%E -2.97%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 22:04
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 19:35
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 18:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.11%EV -10.14%E -4.47%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.89%EV -8.17%E -5.38%K -15.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-02 17:55
ReBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 39.95%EV -10.14%E -4.47%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.05%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-02 17:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.93%E -4.86%K -8.74%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -9.38%E -6.25%K -18.76%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-02 18:01
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.91%E -5.87%K -10.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -9.38%E -6.25%K -18.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-02 19:35
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%3.1%2026-09-02 22:55
Novig2.27I 44.05%NM 39.47%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.53%11.6%2026-09-02 19:05
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 40.16%1.49I 67.11%NM 59.84%12.2%2026-09-02 17:55
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 41.14%1.37I 72.99%NM 58.86%24.0%2026-09-02 21:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 50.00%1.22I 81.97%NM 50.00%63.9%2026-09-02 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.22I 81.97%NM 50.00%1.22I 81.97%NM 50.00%63.9%2026-09-02 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 50.00%1.22I 81.97%NM 50.00%63.9%2026-09-02 23:00