Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jasmine Paolini v Sorana Cirstea

Início: 2026-09-04 15:00 UTC

Final: Jasmine Paolini 0–2 Sorana Cirstea

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jasmine Paolini (Local)

Previsão 38.54%2.59odd justa
EV +0.196%
Vantagem +0.076%
Kelly +0.123%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.27%38.62%38.44%40.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.382.452.442.6042.02%40.85%40.98%38.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sorana Cirstea (Visitante)

Previsão 61.46%1.63odd justa
EV -0.430%
Vantagem -0.266%
Kelly -0.694%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.50%61.38%61.56%63.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.481.561.561.6267.57%64.28%64.10%61.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Jasmine Paolini (Local): 38.54%; Sorana Cirstea (Visitante): 61.46%. Para Jasmine Paolini (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.59. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.60, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.196%.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Caesars🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +0.196%E +0.076%K +0.123%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -9.03%E -6.10%K -18.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 09:53
GTbets🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -1.34%E -0.525%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -7.19%E -4.76%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 21:20
Pinnacle🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -1.73%E -0.679%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -2.89%E -1.83%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-04 14:35
Coolbet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -2.89%E -1.15%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.89%E -1.83%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-04 14:05
BetUS🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -2.89%E -1.15%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 13:30
ReBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -3.27%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 13:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 10:40
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 10:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 10:40
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 09:21
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 10:41
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 10:40
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 09:20
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 14:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.58%E -4.33%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -4.43%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -1.66%E -1.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-04 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -4.43%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -1.66%E -1.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-04 14:35
MyBookie.ag🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.81%E -1.95%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 10:45
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -5.20%E -2.11%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 14:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 11:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 10:40
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 14:05
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 14:20
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 18:30
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.35%E -3.47%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:35
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.35%E -3.47%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 10:40
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.35%E -3.47%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 18:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 14:35
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 18:30
TAB🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 13:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 14:15
BetAnything🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -1.66%E -1.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-04 14:35
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 10:40
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 10:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 10:40
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 10:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 10:40
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 10:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 10:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 10:40
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 10:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 10:41
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 10:40
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 10:40
Bally Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 10:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 14:05
Betsson🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 10:41
NordicBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 10:40
FanDuel🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -6.74%E -2.79%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -2.89%E -1.83%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:00
SportsBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -7.13%E -2.96%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 14:05
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 14:09
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 10:40
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 18:30
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 10:45
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -0.430%E -0.266%K -0.694%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-04 10:40
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 13:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 13:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 13:25
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 13:25
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 14:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%0.1%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-09-04 14:35
Matchbook◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-09-04 14:35
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-09-03 17:05
ProphetX◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%1.1%2026-09-04 14:35
Novig◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%1.3%2026-09-04 14:35
Smarkets◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.5%2026-09-04 14:35