Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jasmine Paolini v Sorana Cirstea

2026-09-04 15:00 UTC — WTA US Open

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jasmine Paolini (Local)

Prévision 39.59%2.53cote équitable
EV +0.947%
Avantage +0.371%
Kelly +0.611%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.19%39.38%39.75%40.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.432.402.5545.45%41.19%41.67%39.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Sorana Cirstea (Visiteur)

Prévision 60.41%1.66cote équitable
EV -3.34%
Avantage -2.09%
Kelly -5.57%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.46%60.62%60.25%62.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.541.551.6066.67%64.90%64.52%62.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Jasmine Paolini (Local) : 39.59% ; Sorana Cirstea (Visiteur) : 60.41%. Pour Jasmine Paolini (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.53. 15 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.55, pour une espérance positive de +0.947%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.947%E +0.371%K +0.611%G +0.006%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 19:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +0.947%E +0.371%K +0.611%G +0.006%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -8.17%E -5.38%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +0.947%E +0.371%K +0.611%G +0.006%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -8.17%E -5.38%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 18:55
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +0.947%E +0.371%K +0.611%G +0.006%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -8.17%E -5.38%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 18:55
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.947%E +0.371%K +0.611%G +0.006%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 18:55
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.947%E +0.371%K +0.611%G +0.006%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 18:55
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.947%E +0.371%K +0.611%G +0.006%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.947%E +0.371%K +0.611%G +0.006%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 18:55
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.947%E +0.371%K +0.611%G +0.006%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 18:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.947%E +0.371%K +0.611%G +0.006%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 18:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.947%E +0.371%K +0.611%G +0.006%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.947%E +0.371%K +0.611%G +0.006%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.947%E +0.371%K +0.611%G +0.006%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 18:55
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.947%E +0.371%K +0.611%G +0.006%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 18:55
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.947%E +0.371%K +0.611%G +0.006%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 18:55
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.03%E -0.413%K -0.688%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-02 19:09
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.03%E -0.413%K -0.688%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 19:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.03%E -0.413%K -0.688%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.38%E -6.25%K -18.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 18:55
1xBet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.52%EV -1.43%E -0.574%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.48%EV -5.76%E -3.69%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 19:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.50%EV -2.62%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.50%EV -6.96%E -4.52%K -12.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 19:35
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 19:09
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.38%E -6.25%K -18.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-02 17:55
Bet Right🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.20%E -1.74%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.76%E -3.69%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 19:10
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.76%E -3.69%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 17:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.76%E -3.69%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 19:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 19:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 19:00
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 22:05
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 20:55
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 19:10
DraftKings🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 19:00
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 19:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 20:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 20:35
MyBookie.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.76%E -3.69%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 17:59
GTbets🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -6.57%E -2.79%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.97%E -2.97%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 19:35
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.97%E -2.97%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.34%E -2.09%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 19:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.97%E -2.97%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 20:45
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.97%E -2.97%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 19:35
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.97%E -2.97%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.76%E -3.69%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 17:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.97%E -2.97%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 17:55
TAB🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.97%E -2.97%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 22:04
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 19:35
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.57%E -4.95%K -14.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 18:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.11%EV -10.14%E -4.47%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.89%EV -8.17%E -5.38%K -15.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-02 17:55
ReBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 39.95%EV -10.14%E -4.47%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.05%EV -8.78%E -5.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-02 17:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.93%E -4.86%K -8.74%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -9.38%E -6.25%K -18.76%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-02 18:01
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -12.91%E -5.87%K -10.76%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -9.38%E -6.25%K -18.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-02 19:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%3.1%2026-09-02 22:55
Novig2.27I 44.05%NM 39.47%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.53%11.6%2026-09-02 19:05
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 40.16%1.49I 67.11%NM 59.84%12.2%2026-09-02 17:55
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 41.14%1.37I 72.99%NM 58.86%24.0%2026-09-02 21:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 50.00%1.22I 81.97%NM 50.00%63.9%2026-09-02 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.22I 81.97%NM 50.00%1.22I 81.97%NM 50.00%63.9%2026-09-02 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 50.00%1.22I 81.97%NM 50.00%63.9%2026-09-02 23:00