Langue:Français
Jasmine Paolini v Sorana Cirstea
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Jasmine Paolini (Local)
Prévision 38.54%2.59cote équitable
EV +0.196%
Avantage +0.076%
Kelly +0.123%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.27%38.62%38.44%40.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.382.452.442.6042.02%40.85%40.98%38.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Sorana Cirstea (Visiteur)
Prévision 61.46%1.63cote équitable
EV -0.430%
Avantage -0.266%
Kelly -0.694%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.62
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.50%61.38%61.56%63.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.481.561.561.6267.57%64.28%64.10%61.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jasmine Paolini (Local) : 38.54% ; Sorana Cirstea (Visiteur) : 61.46%. Pour Jasmine Paolini (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.59. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.60, soit une espérance positive de +0.196%.
Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +0.196%E +0.076%K +0.123%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -9.03%E -6.10%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 09:53 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -1.34%E -0.525%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -7.19%E -4.76%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 21:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -1.73%E -0.679%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -2.89%E -1.83%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -2.89%E -1.15%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.89%E -1.83%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -2.89%E -1.15%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 13:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -3.27%E -1.30%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 09:21 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 10:41 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 09:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.58%E -4.33%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -4.43%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -1.66%E -1.04%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -4.43%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -1.66%E -1.04%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.81%E -1.95%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 10:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -5.20%E -2.11%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 13:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 18:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.35%E -3.47%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.35%E -3.47%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.35%E -3.47%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 18:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 18:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 13:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -1.66%E -1.04%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 10:41 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 10:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 10:41 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -6.35%E -2.62%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -6.74%E -2.79%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -2.89%E -1.83%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -7.13%E -2.96%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 18:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 10:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -0.430%E -0.266%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28% | 0.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 0.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 0.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 0.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 17:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98% | 2.5% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |