语言:简体中文
Daria Kasatkina v Paula Badosa
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Daria Kasatkina (主队)
预测 46.90%2.13公平赔率
EV -1.04%
优势 -0.494%
Kelly -0.939%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.11
博彩公司预测分布
44.88%46.76%46.92%47.40%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.982.032.052.1150.51%49.22%48.78%47.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
Paula Badosa (客队)
预测 53.10%1.88公平赔率
EV -2.83%
优势 -1.54%
Kelly -3.40%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.83
博彩公司预测分布
52.60%53.24%53.08%55.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.711.781.771.8358.48%56.14%56.34%54.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Daria Kasatkina (主队)：46.90%；Paula Badosa (客队)：53.10%。 对于“Daria Kasatkina (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.13。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.11，期望值为-1.04%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (66 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -1.04%E -0.494%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -7.60%E -4.37%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -1.51%E -0.720%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -9.20%E -5.38%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-28 14:26 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -2.45%E -1.18%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 13:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.45%E -1.18%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 16:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.45%E -1.18%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 16:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.92%E -1.41%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.83%E -1.54%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-01 14:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 14:13 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 21:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 21:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 21:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 21:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 16:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 18:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 21:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 21:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.60%E -4.37%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.33%E -2.12%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-01 14:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -4.79%E -2.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 05:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.26%E -2.61%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-01 13:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.26%E -2.61%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-01 13:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.26%E -2.61%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-01 21:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.26%E -2.61%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 14:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.26%E -2.61%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 14:43 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.26%E -2.61%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 14:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.26%E -2.61%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.11%EV -5.73%E -2.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.89%EV -4.95%E -2.77%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 21:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 14:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 14:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:26 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 14:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 13:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 21:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 21:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 21:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.60%E -4.37%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 19:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.14%E -4.70%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-01 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.14%E -4.70%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.21%EV -6.67%E -3.35%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.79%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 14:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.21%EV -6.67%E -3.35%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.79%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 14:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.14%E -3.61%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 16:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.14%E -3.61%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 20:30 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (8)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 21:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 21:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-09-01 21:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-09-01 21:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57% | 2.4% | 2026-09-01 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57% | 2.6% | 2026-09-01 21:55 |