Język:Polski
Daria Kasatkina v Paula Badosa
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Daria Kasatkina (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 46.90%2.13kurs godziwy
EV -1.04%
Przewaga -0.494%
Kelly -0.939%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.11
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
44.88%46.76%46.92%47.40%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.982.032.052.1150.51%49.22%48.78%47.39%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Paula Badosa (Goście)
Prognoza 53.10%1.88kurs godziwy
EV -2.83%
Przewaga -1.54%
Kelly -3.40%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.83
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
52.60%53.24%53.08%55.12%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.711.781.771.8358.48%56.14%56.34%54.64%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Daria Kasatkina (Gospodarze): 46.90%; Paula Badosa (Goście): 53.10%. Dla wyniku Daria Kasatkina (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.13. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 2.11, przy wartości oczekiwanej -1.04%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.
Kursy bukmacherskie (66 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -1.04%E -0.494%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -7.60%E -4.37%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -1.51%E -0.720%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -9.20%E -5.38%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-28 14:26 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -2.45%E -1.18%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 13:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.45%E -1.18%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 16:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.45%E -1.18%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 16:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.92%E -1.41%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.83%E -1.54%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-01 14:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 14:13 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 21:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 21:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 21:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 21:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 16:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 18:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 21:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 21:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.60%E -4.37%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.33%E -2.12%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-01 14:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -4.79%E -2.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 05:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.26%E -2.61%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-01 13:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.26%E -2.61%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-01 13:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.26%E -2.61%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-01 21:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.26%E -2.61%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 14:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.26%E -2.61%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 14:43 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.26%E -2.61%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 14:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.26%E -2.61%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.11%EV -5.73%E -2.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.89%EV -4.95%E -2.77%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 21:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 14:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 14:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:26 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 14:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 13:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 21:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 21:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 21:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.60%E -4.37%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 19:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.14%E -4.70%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-01 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.14%E -4.70%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.21%EV -6.67%E -3.35%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.79%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 14:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.21%EV -6.67%E -3.35%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.79%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 14:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.14%E -3.61%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 16:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.14%E -3.61%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 20:30 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (8)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 21:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 21:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-09-01 21:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-09-01 21:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57% | 2.4% | 2026-09-01 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57% | 2.6% | 2026-09-01 21:55 |