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Daria Kasatkina v Paula Badosa
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Daria Kasatkina (Хозяева)
Прогноз 46.90%2.13справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.04%
Преимущество -0.494%
Kelly -0.939%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.11
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
44.88%46.76%46.92%47.40%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.982.032.052.1150.51%49.22%48.78%47.39%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Paula Badosa (Гости)
Прогноз 53.10%1.88справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.83%
Преимущество -1.54%
Kelly -3.40%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.83
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
52.60%53.24%53.08%55.12%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.711.781.771.8358.48%56.14%56.34%54.64%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Daria Kasatkina (Хозяева): 46.90%; Paula Badosa (Гости): 53.10%. Для исхода «Daria Kasatkina (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.13. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 2.11, математическое ожидание — -1.04%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (66 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -1.04%E -0.494%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -7.60%E -4.37%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -1.51%E -0.720%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -9.20%E -5.38%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-28 14:26 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -2.45%E -1.18%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 13:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.45%E -1.18%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 16:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.45%E -1.18%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 16:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.92%E -1.41%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.83%E -1.54%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 21:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-01 14:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 14:13 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 21:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 21:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 21:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 21:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 16:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 18:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 21:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 21:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.60%E -4.37%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.33%E -2.12%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-01 14:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -4.79%E -2.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 05:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.26%E -2.61%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-01 13:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.26%E -2.61%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-01 13:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.26%E -2.61%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-01 21:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.26%E -2.61%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 14:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.26%E -2.61%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 14:43 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.26%E -2.61%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 14:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.26%E -2.61%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.11%EV -5.73%E -2.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.89%EV -4.95%E -2.77%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 21:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 14:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 14:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:26 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 14:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 13:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 13:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 21:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 21:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 21:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.60%E -4.37%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 19:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.14%E -4.70%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-01 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.14%E -4.70%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-01 20:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.21%EV -6.67%E -3.35%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.79%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 14:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.21%EV -6.67%E -3.35%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.79%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 14:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.14%E -3.61%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 16:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.14%E -3.61%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 20:30 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (8)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 21:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-09-01 21:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-09-01 21:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-09-01 21:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57% | 2.4% | 2026-09-01 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57% | 2.6% | 2026-09-01 21:55 |