StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Daria Kasatkina v Paula Badosa

Matchstart: 2026-09-01 21:59 UTC

Slutresultat: Daria Kasatkina 0–2 Paula Badosa

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

66 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Daria Kasatkina (Hemma)

Prognos 46.90%2.13rättvist odds
EV -1.04%
Fördel -0.494%
Kelly -0.939%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.11

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
44.88%46.76%46.92%47.40%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.982.032.052.1150.51%49.22%48.78%47.39%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Paula Badosa (Borta)

Prognos 53.10%1.88rättvist odds
EV -2.83%
Fördel -1.54%
Kelly -3.40%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.83

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
52.60%53.24%53.08%55.12%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.711.781.771.8358.48%56.14%56.34%54.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Daria Kasatkina (Hemma): 46.90%; Paula Badosa (Borta): 53.10%. För Daria Kasatkina (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.13. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 2.11, med väntevärdet -1.04%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (66 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
GTbets🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -1.04%E -0.494%K -0.939%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -7.60%E -4.37%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 21:40
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -1.51%E -0.720%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -9.20%E -5.38%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-28 14:26
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -2.45%E -1.18%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-01 13:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.45%E -1.18%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 16:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.45%E -1.18%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 16:10
Pinnacle🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.92%E -1.41%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.83%E -1.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-01 21:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-01 14:40
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 13:30
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 14:13
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 21:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 21:55
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 21:35
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 17:40
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 17:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 17:40
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 17:40
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 17:40
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 17:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 17:40
Bally Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 17:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 17:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 16:50
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 17:40
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 20:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 17:40
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 20:10
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 17:39
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 21:59
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.60%E -4.37%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 20:10
ReBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.33%E -2.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-01 14:40
DraftKings🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -4.79%E -2.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 05:55
SportsBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.26%E -2.61%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 13:35
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.26%E -2.61%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 13:34
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.26%E -2.61%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.36%E -1.84%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 21:59
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.26%E -2.61%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 14:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.26%E -2.61%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 14:43
Unibet (UK)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.26%E -2.61%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 14:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.26%E -2.61%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.11%EV -5.73%E -2.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.89%EV -4.95%E -2.77%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 21:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 14:40
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 14:40
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:26
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 14:40
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:35
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:20
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:35
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.42%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 13:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 13:45
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 21:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 21:50
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 21:55
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.60%E -4.37%K -10.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-01 19:30
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.14%E -4.70%K -11.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.20%E -3.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.14%E -4.70%K -11.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 20:10
Betsson🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.21%EV -6.67%E -3.35%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.79%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 14:40
NordicBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.21%EV -6.67%E -3.35%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.79%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 14:39
BetAnything🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.14%E -3.61%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 16:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.14%E -3.61%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.01%E -3.40%K -7.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 20:30
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (8)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-09-01 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-09-01 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-09-01 21:50
Matchbook◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-09-01 21:50
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-09-01 21:40
ProphetX◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-09-01 21:55
Novig◎2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%2.4%2026-09-01 21:55
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%2.6%2026-09-01 21:55