Language:English
Aryna Sabalenka v Linda Noskova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Prediction 71.41%1.40fair odd
EV -1.46%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -3.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.49%71.27%71.43%73.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.331.331.3876.92%75.13%75.19%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Linda Noskova (Visit)
Prediction 28.59%3.50fair odd
EV +2.08%
Edge +0.582%
Kelly +0.809%
Growth +0.017%
assuming max odds 3.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.69%28.73%28.57%31.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.343.353.5733.33%29.96%29.85%28.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aryna Sabalenka (Local): 71.41%; Linda Noskova (Visit): 28.59%. For Linda Noskova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.50. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.57, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.08%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV +2.08%E +0.582%K +0.809%G +0.017% | 4.9% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.46%E -4.93%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +0.077%E +0.022%K +0.031%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.90%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 28.10%EV -0.495%E -0.142%K -0.200%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -2.78%E -0.818%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.78%E -0.818%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-08 15:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.78%E -0.818%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.78%E -0.818%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-08 15:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.78%E -0.818%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.78%E -0.818%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-08 15:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.61%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.39%EV -3.35%E -0.992%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-08 15:26 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-08 13:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 15:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.46%E -4.93%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 15:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.70%EV -1.46%E -1.06%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.30%EV -4.78%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-08 15:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -5.07%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 15:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-08 15:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-08 15:26 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 15:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 15:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 13:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 15:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 15:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.46%E -4.93%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.46%E -4.93%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-08 12:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-08 15:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 15:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 14:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 13:36 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 13:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 14:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 15:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.76%EV -2.17%E -1.59%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -9.64%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-08 13:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.36%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 07:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -1.46%E -1.06%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -14.22%E -4.74%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -1.46%E -1.06%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -14.22%E -4.74%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-09-08 15:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-09-08 15:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-09-08 15:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-09-08 15:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55% | 2.2% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |