Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Aryna Sabalenka v Linda Noskova

Inizio: 2026-09-08 15:30 UTC

Finale: Aryna Sabalenka 2–1 Linda Noskova

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

65 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Aryna Sabalenka (Casa)

Previsione 71.41%1.40quota equa
EV -1.46%
Vantaggio -1.06%
Kelly -3.84%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
68.49%71.27%71.43%73.31%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.301.331.331.3876.92%75.13%75.19%72.46%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Linda Noskova (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.59%3.50quota equa
EV +2.08%
Vantaggio +0.582%
Kelly +0.809%
Crescita +0.017%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.57

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.69%28.73%28.57%31.51%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.343.353.5733.33%29.96%29.85%28.01%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Aryna Sabalenka (Casa): 71.41%; Linda Noskova (Trasferta): 28.59%. Per Linda Noskova (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.50. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.57, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.08%.

Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.90%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV +2.08%E +0.582%K +0.809%G +0.017%4.9%2026-09-08 15:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.46%E -4.93%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +0.077%E +0.022%K +0.031%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-08 15:00
Pinnacle🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.90%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 28.10%EV -0.495%E -0.142%K -0.200%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-08 15:15
Coolbet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-08 15:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 15:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 15:00
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 15:00
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 15:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 15:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 15:00
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 15:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 15:00
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 15:00
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 15:00
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 15:00
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 15:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -2.78%E -0.818%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-08 15:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.78%E -0.818%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-08 15:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.78%E -0.818%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-08 15:15
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.78%E -0.818%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 15:05
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.78%E -0.818%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 15:15
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.78%E -0.818%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 15:04
ReBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.61%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.39%EV -3.35%E -0.992%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-08 15:15
BetAnything🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 15:26
Winamax (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 15:15
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-08 13:35
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 15:10
Bet Right🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 15:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 15:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.46%E -4.93%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 15:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 15:00
GTbets🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.70%EV -1.46%E -1.06%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.30%EV -4.78%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-08 15:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -5.07%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 15:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-08 15:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-08 15:26
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 15:15
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 15:05
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 15:05
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 13:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 15:05
Fanatics🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 15:20
Fliff🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.46%E -4.93%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 15:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.46%E -4.93%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 15:15
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 15:15
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 15:15
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 12:14
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 15:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 15:05
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 14:59
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 13:36
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 13:35
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 15:15
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 14:30
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-08 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-08 15:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 15:05
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.76%EV -2.17%E -1.59%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -9.64%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 13:55
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.36%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 07:55
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -1.46%E -1.06%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -14.22%E -4.74%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 15:15
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -1.46%E -1.06%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -14.22%E -4.74%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 15:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-09-08 15:25
Novig◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-09-08 15:25
Matchbook◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-09-08 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-09-08 15:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-09-08 15:20
ProphetX◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-09-08 15:25
Smarkets◎1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%2.2%2026-09-08 15:20