Idioma:Español
Aryna Sabalenka v Linda Noskova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Predicción 71.41%1.40momio equitativo
EV -1.46%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -3.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.49%71.27%71.43%73.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.301.331.331.3876.92%75.13%75.19%72.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Linda Noskova (Visitante)
Predicción 28.59%3.50momio equitativo
EV +2.08%
Ventaja +0.582%
Kelly +0.809%
Crecimiento +0.017%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.69%28.73%28.57%31.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.343.353.5733.33%29.96%29.85%28.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Aryna Sabalenka (Local): 71.41%; Linda Noskova (Visitante): 28.59%. Para Linda Noskova (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.50. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.57, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.08%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV +2.08%E +0.582%K +0.809%G +0.017% | 4.9% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.46%E -4.93%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +0.077%E +0.022%K +0.031%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.90%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 28.10%EV -0.495%E -0.142%K -0.200%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -2.78%E -0.818%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.78%E -0.818%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-08 15:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.78%E -0.818%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.78%E -0.818%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-08 15:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.78%E -0.818%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.78%E -0.818%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-08 15:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.61%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.39%EV -3.35%E -0.992%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-08 15:26 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-08 13:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 15:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.46%E -4.93%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 15:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.70%EV -1.46%E -1.06%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.30%EV -4.78%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-08 15:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -5.07%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 15:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-08 15:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-08 15:26 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 15:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 15:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 13:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 15:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 15:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.46%E -4.93%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.46%E -4.93%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-08 12:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-08 15:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 15:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 14:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 13:36 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 13:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 14:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 15:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.76%EV -2.17%E -1.59%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -9.64%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-08 13:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.36%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 07:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -1.46%E -1.06%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -14.22%E -4.74%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -1.46%E -1.06%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -14.22%E -4.74%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-09-08 15:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-09-08 15:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-09-08 15:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-09-08 15:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55% | 2.2% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |