Язык:Русский
Aryna Sabalenka v Linda Noskova
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Aryna Sabalenka (Хозяева)
Прогноз 71.41%1.40справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.46%
Преимущество -1.06%
Kelly -3.84%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.38
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
68.49%71.27%71.43%73.31%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.301.331.331.3876.92%75.13%75.19%72.46%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Linda Noskova (Гости)
Прогноз 28.59%3.50справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.08%
Преимущество +0.582%
Kelly +0.809%
Рост +0.017%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.57
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.69%28.73%28.57%31.51%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.343.353.5733.33%29.96%29.85%28.01%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Aryna Sabalenka (Хозяева): 71.41%; Linda Noskova (Гости): 28.59%. Для исхода «Linda Noskova (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.50. 2 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.57, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +2.08%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (65 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV +2.08%E +0.582%K +0.809%G +0.017% | 4.9% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.46%E -4.93%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +0.077%E +0.022%K +0.031%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.90%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 28.10%EV -0.495%E -0.142%K -0.200%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.35%E -0.392%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -2.78%E -0.818%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.78%E -0.818%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-08 15:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.78%E -0.818%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.78%E -0.818%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-08 15:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.78%E -0.818%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.78%E -0.818%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-08 15:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.61%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.39%EV -3.35%E -0.992%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-08 15:26 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-08 13:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 15:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.46%E -4.93%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 15:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-08 15:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.70%EV -1.46%E -1.06%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.30%EV -4.78%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-08 15:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -5.07%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 15:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-08 15:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-08 15:26 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 15:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 15:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 13:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 15:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 15:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.46%E -4.93%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.46%E -4.93%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-08 12:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-08 15:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 15:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 14:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 13:36 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 13:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 14:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 15:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.76%EV -2.17%E -1.59%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -9.64%E -3.05%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-08 13:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.36%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 07:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -1.46%E -1.06%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -14.22%E -4.74%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -1.46%E -1.06%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -14.22%E -4.74%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-09-08 15:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-09-08 15:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-09-08 15:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-09-08 15:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55% | 2.2% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |