Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Aryna Sabalenka v Linda Noskova

2026-09-08 15:30 UTC — WTA US Open

Победитель встречи

58 букмекерских контор (17 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Aryna Sabalenka (Хозяева)

Прогноз 69.91%1.43справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.13%
Преимущество -1.52%
Kelly -5.33%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.40

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
68.18%69.87%70.00%71.02%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.301.351.351.4076.92%74.09%74.07%71.43%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Linda Noskova (Гости)

Прогноз 30.09%3.32справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.815%
Преимущество +0.243%
Kelly +0.347%
Рост +0.003%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.35

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.98%30.13%30.00%31.82%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.853.143.153.3535.09%31.85%31.75%29.85%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Для рынка «Победитель встречи» модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивает вероятности так: Aryna Sabalenka (Хозяева): 69.91%; Linda Noskova (Гости): 30.09%. Для исхода «Linda Noskova (Гости)» эта оценка соответствует справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.32. 1 букмекер предлагает коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший доступный коэффициент — 3.35, что даёт положительное математическое ожидание +0.815%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (58 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -4.23%E -3.09%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV +0.815%E +0.243%K +0.347%G +0.003%2.8%2026-09-07 01:25
DraftKings🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -7.03%E -5.28%K -21.29%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.98%EV -1.89%E -0.581%K -0.838%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 23:30
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.93%E -3.62%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.19%E -0.675%K -0.975%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 22:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.33%E -4.72%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.19%E -0.675%K -0.975%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 01:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.33%E -4.72%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.19%E -0.675%K -0.975%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 01:25
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.33%E -4.72%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.19%E -0.675%K -0.975%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 01:25
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.33%E -4.72%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.19%E -0.675%K -0.975%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 01:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.33%E -4.72%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.19%E -0.675%K -0.975%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 01:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.33%E -4.72%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.19%E -0.675%K -0.975%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 01:25
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.33%E -4.72%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.19%E -0.675%K -0.975%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 01:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.33%E -4.72%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.19%E -0.675%K -0.975%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 01:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.33%E -4.72%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.19%E -0.675%K -0.975%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 01:25
Casumo🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.33%E -4.72%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.19%E -0.675%K -0.975%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 01:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.33%E -4.72%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.19%E -0.675%K -0.975%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 01:25
TABtouch🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.33%E -4.72%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.19%E -0.675%K -0.975%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 01:25
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.33%E -4.72%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.19%E -0.675%K -0.975%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 01:25
Bally Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.33%E -4.72%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.19%E -0.675%K -0.975%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 01:25
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.03%E -5.28%K -21.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.19%E -0.675%K -0.975%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 00:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.03%E -5.28%K -21.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.19%E -0.675%K -0.975%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 01:29
GTbets🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.93%EV -3.53%E -2.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.07%EV -3.40%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-06 23:30
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.09%EV -4.23%E -3.09%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.91%EV -3.40%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-07 01:15
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.93%E -3.62%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.70%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 23:35
Bet Right🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.63%E -4.17%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.70%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 01:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.03%E -5.28%K -21.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.70%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 23:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.03%E -5.28%K -21.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.70%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 01:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.93%E -3.62%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 01:10
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.63%E -4.17%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.20%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 23:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.63%E -4.17%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.20%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 23:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.63%E -4.17%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.20%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 23:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.63%E -4.17%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.20%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.63%E -4.17%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.20%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 23:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.93%EV -5.63%E -4.17%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.07%EV -5.50%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 23:48
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.09%EV -6.33%E -4.72%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.91%EV -5.50%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 23:45
NordicBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.09%EV -6.33%E -4.72%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.91%EV -5.50%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 23:45
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.93%E -3.62%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 23:45
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.93%E -3.62%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 21:40
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.93%E -3.62%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 21:40
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.93%E -3.62%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 00:28
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.93%E -3.62%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 22:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.93%E -3.62%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.93%E -3.62%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 23:05
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.33%E -4.72%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 01:10
FanDuel🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -2.83%E -2.04%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 22:50
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.53%E -2.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.53%E -2.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 22:20
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.33%E -4.72%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 22:50
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -7.03%E -5.28%K -21.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 23:45
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.13%E -1.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 22:51
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.13%E -1.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 22:50
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.53%E -2.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 22:40
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.53%E -2.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 22:40
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.93%E -3.62%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 22:44
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.63%E -4.17%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.63%E -4.17%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 22:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -7.72%E -5.85%K -24.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -11.22%E -3.80%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 23:44
ReBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.18%EV -8.42%E -6.43%K -27.17%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 30.82%EV -11.52%E -3.92%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 23:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 68.88%EV -8.42%E -6.43%K -27.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-06 23:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.67%EV -9.12%E -7.02%K -30.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.33%EV -14.23%E -4.99%K -7.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 23:45
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (7)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.7%2026-09-07 02:25
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%2.2%2026-09-07 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%2.2%2026-09-07 02:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%2.2%2026-09-07 02:30
ProphetX1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%4.4%2026-09-07 01:55
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%5.8%2026-09-07 02:35
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 70.00%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.00%8.2%2026-09-07 01:15