StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Aryna Sabalenka v Linda Noskova

2026-09-08 15:30 UTC — WTA US Open

Matchresultat

58 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Aryna Sabalenka (Hemma)

Prognos 69.91%1.43rättvist odds
EV -2.13%
Fördel -1.52%
Kelly -5.33%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
68.18%69.87%70.00%71.02%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.301.351.351.4076.92%74.09%74.07%71.43%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Linda Noskova (Borta)

Prognos 30.09%3.32rättvist odds
EV +0.815%
Fördel +0.243%
Kelly +0.347%
Tillväxt +0.003%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.35

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.98%30.13%30.00%31.82%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.853.143.153.3535.09%31.85%31.75%29.85%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Aryna Sabalenka (Hemma): 69.91%; Linda Noskova (Borta): 30.09%. För Linda Noskova (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.32. 1 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 3.35, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +0.815%.

Spelbolagsodds (58 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -4.23%E -3.09%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV +0.815%E +0.243%K +0.347%G +0.003%2.8%2026-09-07 01:25
DraftKings🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -7.03%E -5.28%K -21.29%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.98%EV -1.89%E -0.581%K -0.838%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 23:30
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.93%E -3.62%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.19%E -0.675%K -0.975%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 22:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.33%E -4.72%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.19%E -0.675%K -0.975%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 01:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.33%E -4.72%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.19%E -0.675%K -0.975%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 01:25
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.33%E -4.72%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.19%E -0.675%K -0.975%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 01:25
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.33%E -4.72%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.19%E -0.675%K -0.975%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 01:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.33%E -4.72%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.19%E -0.675%K -0.975%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 01:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.33%E -4.72%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.19%E -0.675%K -0.975%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 01:25
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.33%E -4.72%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.19%E -0.675%K -0.975%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 01:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.33%E -4.72%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.19%E -0.675%K -0.975%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 01:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.33%E -4.72%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.19%E -0.675%K -0.975%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 01:25
Casumo🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.33%E -4.72%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.19%E -0.675%K -0.975%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 01:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.33%E -4.72%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.19%E -0.675%K -0.975%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 01:25
TABtouch🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.33%E -4.72%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.19%E -0.675%K -0.975%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 01:25
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.33%E -4.72%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.19%E -0.675%K -0.975%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 01:25
Bally Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.33%E -4.72%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.19%E -0.675%K -0.975%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 01:25
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.03%E -5.28%K -21.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.19%E -0.675%K -0.975%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 00:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.03%E -5.28%K -21.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.19%E -0.675%K -0.975%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 01:29
GTbets🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.93%EV -3.53%E -2.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.07%EV -3.40%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-06 23:30
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.09%EV -4.23%E -3.09%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.91%EV -3.40%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-07 01:15
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.93%E -3.62%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.70%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 23:35
Bet Right🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.63%E -4.17%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.70%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 01:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.03%E -5.28%K -21.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.70%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 23:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.03%E -5.28%K -21.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.70%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 01:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.93%E -3.62%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 01:10
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.63%E -4.17%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.20%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 23:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.63%E -4.17%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.20%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 23:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.63%E -4.17%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.20%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 23:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.63%E -4.17%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.20%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.63%E -4.17%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.20%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 23:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.93%EV -5.63%E -4.17%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.07%EV -5.50%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 23:48
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.09%EV -6.33%E -4.72%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.91%EV -5.50%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 23:45
NordicBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.09%EV -6.33%E -4.72%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.91%EV -5.50%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 23:45
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.93%E -3.62%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 23:45
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.93%E -3.62%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 21:40
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.93%E -3.62%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 21:40
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.93%E -3.62%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 00:28
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.93%E -3.62%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 22:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.93%E -3.62%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.93%E -3.62%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 23:05
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.33%E -4.72%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 01:10
FanDuel🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -2.83%E -2.04%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 22:50
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.53%E -2.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.53%E -2.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 22:20
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.33%E -4.72%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 22:50
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -7.03%E -5.28%K -21.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 23:45
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.13%E -1.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 22:51
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.13%E -1.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 22:50
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.53%E -2.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 22:40
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.53%E -2.56%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 22:40
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.93%E -3.62%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 22:44
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.63%E -4.17%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.63%E -4.17%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 22:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -7.72%E -5.85%K -24.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -11.22%E -3.80%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 23:44
ReBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.18%EV -8.42%E -6.43%K -27.17%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 30.82%EV -11.52%E -3.92%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 23:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 68.88%EV -8.42%E -6.43%K -27.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-06 23:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.67%EV -9.12%E -7.02%K -30.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.33%EV -14.23%E -4.99%K -7.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 23:45
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.7%2026-09-07 02:25
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%2.2%2026-09-07 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%2.2%2026-09-07 02:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%2.2%2026-09-07 02:30
ProphetX1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%4.4%2026-09-07 01:55
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%5.8%2026-09-07 02:35
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 70.00%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.00%8.2%2026-09-07 01:15