Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ann Li v Donna Vekic

Kickoff: 2026-09-02 23:28 UTC

Final: Ann Li 2–1 Donna Vekic

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ann Li (Local)

Prediction 59.90%1.67fair odd
EV -2.96%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -4.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.13%59.99%59.95%61.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.581.591.6264.52%63.10%62.89%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Donna Vekic (Visit)

Prediction 40.10%2.49fair odd
EV +0.640%
Edge +0.255%
Kelly +0.424%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 2.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.63%40.01%40.05%40.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.372.352.5143.48%42.20%42.55%39.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ann Li (Local): 59.90%; Donna Vekic (Visit): 40.10%. For Donna Vekic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.49. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.51, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.640%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -5.35%E -3.39%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV +0.640%E +0.255%K +0.424%G +0.003%3.1%2026-09-02 22:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -5.35%E -3.39%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV +0.640%E +0.255%K +0.424%G +0.003%3.1%2026-09-02 22:55
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -1.36%E -0.555%K -0.934%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 07:45
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -2.97%E -1.23%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 16:00
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 09:35
ReBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 18:21
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 15:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 16:00
BetAnything🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.75%E -2.99%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 23:20
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 22:55
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 16:00
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.15%E -4.61%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 22:55
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.15%E -4.61%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 22:53
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -4.17%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 22:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -6.55%E -4.20%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -4.17%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 22:53
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.96%E -1.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-02 23:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 12:40
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 09:35
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 22:54
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 16:35
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 16:35
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 09:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 16:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 20:20
BetUS🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -4.97%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 21:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.75%E -2.99%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.97%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 16:04
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.55%E -2.21%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 07:45
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.55%E -2.21%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 22:53
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.55%E -2.21%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 22:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 13:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:55
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:55
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:55
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:55
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:55
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:55
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:54
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:54
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 22:55
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 23:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 22:54
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 07:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 16:00
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 22:54
DraftKings🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.35%E -3.39%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -6.18%E -2.64%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 20:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -5.35%E -3.39%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -6.98%E -3.01%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.98%E -3.01%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 22:55
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.75%E -2.99%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 09:31
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.15%E -4.61%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 22:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.15%E -4.61%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 22:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-09-02 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-09-02 23:15
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-09-02 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%0.9%2026-09-02 23:20
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-09-02 23:20
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-09-02 23:21
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.4%2026-09-02 23:15
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%2.3%2026-09-02 23:20