Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Ann Li v Donna Vekic

Inizio: 2026-09-02 23:28 UTC

Finale: Ann Li 2–1 Donna Vekic

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

59 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

60%

40%

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Ann Li (Casa)

Previsione 59.90%1.67quota equa

EV -2.96%

Vantaggio -1.82%

Kelly -4.77%

Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.62

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

59.13%59.99%59.95%61.37%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Distribuzione delle quote

1.551.581.591.6264.52%63.10%62.89%61.73%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Donna Vekic (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.10%2.49quota equa

EV +0.640%

Vantaggio +0.255%

Kelly +0.424%

Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.51

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

38.63%40.01%40.05%40.87%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Distribuzione delle quote

2.302.372.352.5143.48%42.20%42.55%39.84%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Ann Li (Casa): 59.90%; Donna Vekic (Trasferta): 40.10%. Per Donna Vekic (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.49. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.51, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.640%.

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta ▼	Margine	Aggiornamento
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -5.35%E -3.39%K -9.23%G +0.000%	2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV +0.640%E +0.255%K +0.424%G +0.003%	3.1%	2026-09-02 22:55
LowVig.ag🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -5.35%E -3.39%K -9.23%G +0.000%	2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV +0.640%E +0.255%K +0.424%G +0.003%	3.1%	2026-09-02 22:55
FanDuel🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%	2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -1.36%E -0.555%K -0.934%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-02 07:45
SportsBet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -2.97%E -1.23%K -2.09%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-01 16:00
Betway🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-01 09:35
ReBet🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-02 18:21
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-01 15:59
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-01 16:00
BetAnything🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.75%E -2.99%K -8.05%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-02 23:20
Bet Right🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-02 22:55
Paddy Power🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-01 16:00
PlayUp🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.15%E -4.61%K -13.00%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-02 22:55
TAB🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.15%E -4.61%K -13.00%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-02 22:53
Marathon Bet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%	2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -4.17%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-09-02 22:59
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -6.55%E -4.20%K -11.70%G +0.000%	2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -4.17%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-02 22:53
BoyleSports🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.96%E -1.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-09-02 23:15
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-02 12:40
betfred_uk🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-01 09:35
betano_uk🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-02 22:54
William Hill🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-02 16:35
888sport🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-02 16:35
Sky Bet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-01 09:35
888sport (SE)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-02 16:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-02 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-02 20:20
BetUS🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -4.97%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-02 21:10
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.75%E -2.99%K -8.05%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.97%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-01 16:04
theScore Bet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.55%E -2.21%K -5.83%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-02 07:45
Bovada🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.55%E -2.21%K -5.83%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-02 22:53
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.55%E -2.21%K -5.83%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-02 22:55
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-02 13:20
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-02 22:55
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-02 22:55
BetRivers🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-02 22:55
Virgin Bet🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-02 22:55
Casumo🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-02 22:55
Unibet🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-02 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-02 22:54
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-02 22:55
TABtouch🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-02 22:55
Grosvenor🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-02 22:54
ATG (SE)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-02 22:55
Svenska Spel🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-02 22:55
Bally Bet🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-02 22:54
betPARX🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-02 22:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-02 22:54
Neds🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-02 22:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-02 22:55
Fanatics🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-02 23:20
Betr (AU)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-02 22:54
LeoVegas🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-02 07:45
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-01 16:00
BetMGM🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-02 22:54
DraftKings🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.35%E -3.39%K -9.23%G +0.000%	2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -6.18%E -2.64%K -4.61%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-02 20:55
NetBet (FR)🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -5.35%E -3.39%K -9.23%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -6.98%E -3.01%K -5.29%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-02 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.98%E -3.01%K -5.29%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-09-02 22:55
Caesars🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.75%E -2.99%K -8.05%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-01 09:31
Coral🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.15%E -4.61%K -13.00%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-09-02 22:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.15%E -4.61%K -13.00%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-09-02 22:55

Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta	Margine ▲	Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%	0.4%	2026-09-02 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%	0.4%	2026-09-02 23:15
Matchbook◎	1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%	2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%	0.6%	2026-09-02 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%	2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%	0.9%	2026-09-02 23:20
Kalshi◎	1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%	2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%	0.9%	2026-09-02 23:20
Novig◎	1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%	2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%	1.0%	2026-09-02 23:21
ProphetX◎	1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%	2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%	1.4%	2026-09-02 23:15
Smarkets◎	1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%	2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%	2.3%	2026-09-02 23:20