Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ann Li v Donna Vekic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-02 23:28 UTC

Score final : Ann Li 2–1 Donna Vekic

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ann Li (Local)

Prévision 59.90%1.67cote équitable
EV -2.96%
Avantage -1.82%
Kelly -4.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.13%59.99%59.95%61.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.551.581.591.6264.52%63.10%62.89%61.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Donna Vekic (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.10%2.49cote équitable
EV +0.640%
Avantage +0.255%
Kelly +0.424%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 2.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.63%40.01%40.05%40.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.372.352.5143.48%42.20%42.55%39.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Ann Li (Local) : 59.90% ; Donna Vekic (Visiteur) : 40.10%. Pour Donna Vekic (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.49. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.51, soit une espérance positive de +0.640%.

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -5.35%E -3.39%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV +0.640%E +0.255%K +0.424%G +0.003%3.1%2026-09-02 22:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -5.35%E -3.39%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV +0.640%E +0.255%K +0.424%G +0.003%3.1%2026-09-02 22:55
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -1.36%E -0.555%K -0.934%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 07:45
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -2.97%E -1.23%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 16:00
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 09:35
ReBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 18:21
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 15:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 16:00
BetAnything🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.75%E -2.99%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 23:20
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 22:55
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 16:00
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.15%E -4.61%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 22:55
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.15%E -4.61%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 22:53
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -4.17%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 22:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -6.55%E -4.20%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -4.17%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 22:53
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.96%E -1.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-02 23:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 12:40
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 09:35
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 22:54
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 16:35
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 16:35
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 09:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 16:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 20:20
BetUS🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -4.97%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 21:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.75%E -2.99%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.97%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 16:04
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.55%E -2.21%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 07:45
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.55%E -2.21%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 22:53
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.55%E -2.21%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 22:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 13:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:55
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:55
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:55
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:55
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:55
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:55
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:54
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:54
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 22:55
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 23:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 22:54
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 07:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 16:00
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 22:54
DraftKings🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.35%E -3.39%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -6.18%E -2.64%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 20:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -5.35%E -3.39%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -6.98%E -3.01%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.98%E -3.01%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 22:55
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.75%E -2.99%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 09:31
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.15%E -4.61%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 22:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.15%E -4.61%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 22:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-09-02 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-09-02 23:15
Matchbook◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-09-02 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%0.9%2026-09-02 23:20
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-09-02 23:20
Novig◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-09-02 23:21
ProphetX◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.4%2026-09-02 23:15
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%2.3%2026-09-02 23:20