Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ann Li v Donna Vekic

2026-09-02 15:00 UTC — WTA US Open

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ann Li (Local)

Prévision 55.15%1.81cote équitable
EV -3.49%
Avantage -1.99%
Kelly -4.65%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.55%55.15%55.12%56.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.621.721.721.7561.73%58.28%58.14%57.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Donna Vekic (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.85%2.23cote équitable
EV -2.23%
Avantage -1.02%
Kelly -1.89%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.57%44.85%44.88%45.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.102.102.1850.00%47.63%47.62%45.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Ann Li (Local) : 55.15% ; Donna Vekic (Visiteur) : 44.85%. Pour Donna Vekic (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.23. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 2.18, pour une espérance de -2.23% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.49%E -1.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.23%E -1.02%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-01 06:19
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.49%E -1.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 01:10
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.49%E -1.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 06:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 06:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 06:45
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 06:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 06:45
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 06:45
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 06:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 06:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 06:45
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 06:45
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 06:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 06:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 06:45
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 06:45
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 06:45
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.59%E -2.65%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.57%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 04:30
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.59%E -2.65%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 00:35
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.59%E -2.65%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 05:30
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.59%E -2.65%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 05:35
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.14%E -2.99%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.92%E -2.32%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.14%E -2.99%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -5.36%E -2.54%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 06:51
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.14%E -2.99%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 04:05
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.14%E -2.99%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.71%E -3.23%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 05:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -5.14%E -2.99%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -7.16%E -3.46%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 06:45
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.12%E -1.45%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 06:13
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.57%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 00:33
MyBookie.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -5.36%E -2.54%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 01:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 06:45
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 01:11
Betr (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 06:45
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 05:37
GTbets🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.25%E -3.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.12%E -1.45%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 02:10
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.25%E -3.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.92%E -2.32%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 06:51
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.25%E -3.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 03:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.15%EV -6.25%E -3.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.85%EV -6.26%E -3.00%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 01:10
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.80%E -4.02%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 00:30
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.90%E -4.73%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-01 06:15
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.90%E -4.73%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.06%E -3.93%K -7.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 05:45
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -8.45%E -5.09%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -3.57%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 00:30
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.04%EV -9.00%E -5.46%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%EV -9.40%E -4.65%K -9.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-01 01:11
Unibet (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -9.56%E -5.83%K -14.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-01 01:11
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -10.66%E -6.58%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.75%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-01 04:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-01 05:30
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%5.8%2026-09-01 06:30
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%8.0%2026-09-01 06:50
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%8.7%2026-09-01 06:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.13%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.87%9.6%2026-09-01 06:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.13%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.87%9.6%2026-09-01 06:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.13%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.87%9.6%2026-09-01 06:45
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 55.74%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.26%10.7%2026-09-01 01:11