Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Ann Li v Donna Vekic

Início: 2026-09-02 23:28 UTC

Final: Ann Li 2–1 Donna Vekic

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Ann Li (Local)

Previsão 59.90%1.67odd justa
EV -2.96%
Vantagem -1.82%
Kelly -4.77%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.13%59.99%59.95%61.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.551.581.591.6264.52%63.10%62.89%61.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Donna Vekic (Visitante)

Previsão 40.10%2.49odd justa
EV +0.640%
Vantagem +0.255%
Kelly +0.424%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.51

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.63%40.01%40.05%40.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.302.372.352.5143.48%42.20%42.55%39.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Ann Li (Local): 59.90%; Donna Vekic (Visitante): 40.10%. Para Donna Vekic (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.49. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.51, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.640%.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -5.35%E -3.39%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV +0.640%E +0.255%K +0.424%G +0.003%3.1%2026-09-02 22:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -5.35%E -3.39%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV +0.640%E +0.255%K +0.424%G +0.003%3.1%2026-09-02 22:55
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -1.36%E -0.555%K -0.934%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 07:45
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -2.97%E -1.23%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 16:00
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 09:35
ReBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 18:21
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 15:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 16:00
BetAnything🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.75%E -2.99%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 23:20
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 22:55
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 16:00
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.15%E -4.61%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 22:55
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.15%E -4.61%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 22:53
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -4.17%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 22:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -6.55%E -4.20%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -4.17%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 22:53
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.96%E -1.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-02 23:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 12:40
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 09:35
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 22:54
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 16:35
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 16:35
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 09:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 16:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.57%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 20:20
BetUS🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -4.97%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 21:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.75%E -2.99%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.97%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 16:04
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.55%E -2.21%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 07:45
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.55%E -2.21%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 22:53
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.55%E -2.21%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 22:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 13:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:55
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:55
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:55
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:55
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:55
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:55
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:54
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:54
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.15%E -2.60%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 22:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 22:55
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 23:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 22:54
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 07:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 16:00
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 22:54
DraftKings🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.35%E -3.39%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -6.18%E -2.64%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 20:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -5.35%E -3.39%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -6.98%E -3.01%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.95%E -3.79%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.98%E -3.01%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 22:55
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.75%E -2.99%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 09:31
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.15%E -4.61%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 22:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.15%E -4.61%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 22:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-09-02 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-09-02 23:15
Matchbook◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-09-02 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%0.9%2026-09-02 23:20
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-09-02 23:20
Novig◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-09-02 23:21
ProphetX◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.4%2026-09-02 23:15
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%2.3%2026-09-02 23:20