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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Ann Li v Donna Vekic

2026-09-02 15:00 UTC — WTA US Open

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Ann Li (Local)

Predicción 55.15%1.81momio equitativo
EV -3.49%
Ventaja -1.99%
Kelly -4.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.55%55.15%55.12%56.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.621.721.721.7561.73%58.28%58.14%57.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Donna Vekic (Visitante)

Predicción 44.85%2.23momio equitativo
EV -2.23%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -1.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.57%44.85%44.88%45.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.102.102.1850.00%47.63%47.62%45.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Ann Li (Local): 55.15%; Donna Vekic (Visitante): 44.85%. Para Donna Vekic (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.23. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.18, con un valor esperado de -2.23%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.49%E -1.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.23%E -1.02%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-01 06:19
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.49%E -1.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 01:10
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.49%E -1.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 06:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 06:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 06:45
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 06:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 06:45
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 06:45
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 06:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 06:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 06:45
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 06:45
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 06:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 06:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 06:45
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 06:45
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.04%E -2.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 06:45
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.59%E -2.65%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.57%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 04:30
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.59%E -2.65%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 00:35
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.59%E -2.65%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 05:30
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.59%E -2.65%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 05:35
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.14%E -2.99%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.92%E -2.32%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.14%E -2.99%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -5.36%E -2.54%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 06:51
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.14%E -2.99%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 04:05
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.14%E -2.99%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.71%E -3.23%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 05:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -5.14%E -2.99%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -7.16%E -3.46%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 06:45
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.12%E -1.45%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 06:13
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.57%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 00:33
MyBookie.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -5.36%E -2.54%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 01:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 06:45
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 01:11
Betr (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 06:45
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.70%E -3.33%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 05:37
GTbets🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.25%E -3.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.12%E -1.45%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 02:10
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.25%E -3.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.92%E -2.32%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 06:51
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.25%E -3.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 03:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.15%EV -6.25%E -3.67%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.85%EV -6.26%E -3.00%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 01:10
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.80%E -4.02%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 00:30
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.90%E -4.73%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.81%E -2.77%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-01 06:15
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.90%E -4.73%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.06%E -3.93%K -7.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 05:45
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -8.45%E -5.09%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -3.57%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 00:30
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.04%EV -9.00%E -5.46%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%EV -9.40%E -4.65%K -9.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-01 01:11
Unibet (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -9.56%E -5.83%K -14.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-01 01:11
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -10.66%E -6.58%K -17.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.75%EV -10.30%E -5.15%K -10.30%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-01 04:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-01 05:30
ProphetX◎1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%5.8%2026-09-01 06:30
Novig◎1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%8.0%2026-09-01 06:50
Matchbook◎1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%8.7%2026-09-01 06:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 58.13%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.87%9.6%2026-09-01 06:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 58.13%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.87%9.6%2026-09-01 06:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 58.13%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.87%9.6%2026-09-01 06:45
Smarkets◎1.62I 61.73%NM 55.74%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.26%10.7%2026-09-01 01:11