Language:English
Anastasia Potapova v Darja Semenistaja
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Anastasia Potapova (Local)
Prediction 75.67%1.32fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -8.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.07%75.71%75.17%78.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.251.251.2984.75%80.03%80.00%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Darja Semenistaja (Visit)
Prediction 24.33%4.11fair odd
EV +9.49%
Edge +2.11%
Kelly +2.71%
Growth +0.257%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.33%24.29%24.83%26.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.843.754.5029.85%26.02%26.67%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anastasia Potapova (Local): 75.67%; Darja Semenistaja (Visit): 24.33%. For Darja Semenistaja (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.11. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.49%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +9.49%E +2.11%K +2.71%G +0.257% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 21:27 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -6.17%E -4.98%K -25.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +7.05%E +1.60%K +2.07%G +0.146% | 3.4% | 2026-09-01 21:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -6.17%E -4.98%K -25.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +7.05%E +1.60%K +2.07%G +0.146% | 3.4% | 2026-09-01 21:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +5.84%E +1.34%K +1.74%G +0.102% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 21:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +5.84%E +1.34%K +1.74%G +0.102% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 08:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.60%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.40%EV +5.35%E +1.24%K +1.61%G +0.086% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +5.35%E +1.24%K +1.61%G +0.086% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 06:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +5.35%E +1.24%K +1.61%G +0.086% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 06:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -6.17%E -4.98%K -25.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +4.62%E +1.07%K +1.40%G +0.065% | 3.9% | 2026-09-01 04:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +4.62%E +1.07%K +1.40%G +0.065% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 20:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +4.62%E +1.07%K +1.40%G +0.065% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 20:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +3.41%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 03:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +3.41%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 07:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +3.41%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 11:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +3.41%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 15:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +2.19%E +0.521%K +0.684%G +0.015% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 03:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -9.20%E -7.66%K -45.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +2.19%E +0.521%K +0.684%G +0.015% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 21:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV +0.972%E +0.234%K +0.309%G +0.003% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 11:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.17%E -4.98%K -25.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.244%E -0.060%K -0.079%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 03:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.17%E -4.98%K -25.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.244%E -0.060%K -0.079%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 03:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.68%E -0.669%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 21:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.68%E -0.669%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 20:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -10.71%E -9.08%K -59.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -2.68%E -0.669%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-01 21:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.11%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.66%E -3.70%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.54%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.54%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.54%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 21:26 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.80%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.20%EV -8.27%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.66%E -3.70%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -8.76%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.76%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.76%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.76%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.76%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.10%EV -6.93%E -5.63%K -30.12%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 24.90%EV -9.73%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.14%E -2.46%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -6.93%E -5.63%K -30.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.17%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 25.83%EV -12.65%E -3.52%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -3.84%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -3.84%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -3.84%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -3.84%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -3.84%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -3.84%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -3.84%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.14%E -2.46%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.14%E -2.46%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.03%EV -8.44%E -6.98%K -40.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -16.06%E -4.65%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -17.28%E -5.08%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.30%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -18.49%E -5.52%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.96% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 24.04% | -0.3% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18% | 1.9% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13% | 2.4% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13% | 2.4% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.28% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.72% | 6.6% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |