Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Anastasia Potapova v Darja Semenistaja

Início: 2026-09-01 21:34 UTC

Final: Anastasia Potapova 2–0 Darja Semenistaja

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Anastasia Potapova (Local)

Previsão 75.67%1.32odd justa
EV -2.39%
Vantagem -1.85%
Kelly -8.23%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
73.07%75.71%75.17%78.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.181.251.251.2984.75%80.03%80.00%77.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Darja Semenistaja (Visitante)

Previsão 24.33%4.11odd justa
EV +9.49%
Vantagem +2.11%
Kelly +2.71%
Crescimento +0.257%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.33%24.29%24.83%26.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.353.843.754.5029.85%26.02%26.67%22.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Anastasia Potapova (Local): 75.67%; Darja Semenistaja (Visitante): 24.33%. Para Darja Semenistaja (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.11. 18 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +9.49%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +9.49%E +2.11%K +2.71%G +0.257%4.2%2026-09-01 21:27
LowVig.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -6.17%E -4.98%K -25.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +7.05%E +1.60%K +2.07%G +0.146%3.4%2026-09-01 21:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -6.17%E -4.98%K -25.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +7.05%E +1.60%K +2.07%G +0.146%3.4%2026-09-01 21:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +5.84%E +1.34%K +1.74%G +0.102%5.0%2026-09-01 21:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +5.84%E +1.34%K +1.74%G +0.102%5.0%2026-09-01 08:20
Pinnacle🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.60%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.40%EV +5.35%E +1.24%K +1.61%G +0.086%3.1%2026-09-01 21:30
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +5.35%E +1.24%K +1.61%G +0.086%5.1%2026-09-01 06:09
GTbets🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +5.35%E +1.24%K +1.61%G +0.086%5.1%2026-09-01 06:20
1xBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -6.17%E -4.98%K -25.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +4.62%E +1.07%K +1.40%G +0.065%3.9%2026-09-01 04:05
Bet Right🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +4.62%E +1.07%K +1.40%G +0.065%5.2%2026-09-01 20:05
BetUS🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +4.62%E +1.07%K +1.40%G +0.065%5.2%2026-09-01 20:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +3.41%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036%5.5%2026-09-01 03:15
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +3.41%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036%5.5%2026-09-01 07:35
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +3.41%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036%5.5%2026-09-01 11:45
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +3.41%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036%5.5%2026-09-01 15:35
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +2.19%E +0.521%K +0.684%G +0.015%5.8%2026-09-01 03:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -9.20%E -7.66%K -45.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +2.19%E +0.521%K +0.684%G +0.015%7.1%2026-09-01 21:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV +0.972%E +0.234%K +0.309%G +0.003%6.1%2026-09-01 11:15
Neds🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.17%E -4.98%K -25.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.244%E -0.060%K -0.079%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 03:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.17%E -4.98%K -25.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.244%E -0.060%K -0.079%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 03:30
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.68%E -0.669%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 21:29
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.68%E -0.669%K -0.892%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 20:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -10.71%E -9.08%K -59.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -2.68%E -0.669%K -0.892%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-01 21:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.11%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 21:30
Fanatics🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.66%E -3.70%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.54%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 21:30
ReBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.54%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 21:30
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.54%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 21:26
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.80%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.20%EV -8.27%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:30
LeoVegas🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.66%E -3.70%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -8.76%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 21:30
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.76%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 21:30
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.76%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 21:30
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.76%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-01 21:30
Fliff🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.76%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-01 21:30
Betsson🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.10%EV -6.93%E -5.63%K -30.12%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 24.90%EV -9.73%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-01 21:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:30
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.14%E -2.46%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 21:30
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 21:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 21:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -6.93%E -5.63%K -30.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-01 21:30
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.17%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 25.83%EV -12.65%E -3.52%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 21:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -3.84%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 21:30
Casumo🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -3.84%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 21:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -3.84%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 21:30
Unibet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -3.84%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 21:30
betPARX🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -3.84%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 21:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -3.84%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 21:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -3.84%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 21:30
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 21:30
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 21:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 21:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 21:30
TABtouch🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.14%E -2.46%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 21:30
Grosvenor🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.14%E -2.46%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 21:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 21:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 21:30
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 21:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 21:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.03%EV -8.44%E -6.98%K -40.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -16.06%E -4.65%K -6.55%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-01 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -17.28%E -5.08%K -7.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-01 21:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.30%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -18.49%E -5.52%K -7.87%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-01 21:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.96%4.17I 23.98%NM 24.04%-0.3%2026-09-01 21:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-09-01 21:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-09-01 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.7%2026-09-01 21:30
Smarkets◎1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%1.9%2026-09-01 21:30
ProphetX◎1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13%2.4%2026-09-01 21:30
Matchbook◎1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13%2.4%2026-09-01 21:30
Novig◎1.28I 78.13%NM 73.28%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.72%6.6%2026-09-01 21:30