Idioma:Español
Anastasia Potapova v Darja Semenistaja
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Anastasia Potapova (Local)
Predicción 75.67%1.32momio equitativo
EV -2.39%
Ventaja -1.85%
Kelly -8.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.29
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.07%75.71%75.17%78.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.181.251.251.2984.75%80.03%80.00%77.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Darja Semenistaja (Visitante)
Predicción 24.33%4.11momio equitativo
EV +9.49%
Ventaja +2.11%
Kelly +2.71%
Crecimiento +0.257%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.33%24.29%24.83%26.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.353.843.754.5029.85%26.02%26.67%22.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Anastasia Potapova (Local): 75.67%; Darja Semenistaja (Visitante): 24.33%. Para Darja Semenistaja (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.11. 18 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +9.49%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +9.49%E +2.11%K +2.71%G +0.257% | 4.2% | 2026-09-01 21:27 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -6.17%E -4.98%K -25.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +7.05%E +1.60%K +2.07%G +0.146% | 3.4% | 2026-09-01 21:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -6.17%E -4.98%K -25.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +7.05%E +1.60%K +2.07%G +0.146% | 3.4% | 2026-09-01 21:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +5.84%E +1.34%K +1.74%G +0.102% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 21:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +5.84%E +1.34%K +1.74%G +0.102% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 08:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.60%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.40%EV +5.35%E +1.24%K +1.61%G +0.086% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +5.35%E +1.24%K +1.61%G +0.086% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 06:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +5.35%E +1.24%K +1.61%G +0.086% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 06:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -6.17%E -4.98%K -25.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +4.62%E +1.07%K +1.40%G +0.065% | 3.9% | 2026-09-01 04:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +4.62%E +1.07%K +1.40%G +0.065% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 20:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +4.62%E +1.07%K +1.40%G +0.065% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 20:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +3.41%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 03:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +3.41%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 07:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +3.41%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 11:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +3.41%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 15:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +2.19%E +0.521%K +0.684%G +0.015% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 03:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -9.20%E -7.66%K -45.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +2.19%E +0.521%K +0.684%G +0.015% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 21:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV +0.972%E +0.234%K +0.309%G +0.003% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 11:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.17%E -4.98%K -25.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.244%E -0.060%K -0.079%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 03:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.17%E -4.98%K -25.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.244%E -0.060%K -0.079%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 03:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.68%E -0.669%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 21:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.68%E -0.669%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 20:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -10.71%E -9.08%K -59.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -2.68%E -0.669%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-01 21:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.11%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.66%E -3.70%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.54%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.54%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.54%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 21:26 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.80%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.20%EV -8.27%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.66%E -3.70%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -8.76%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.76%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.76%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.76%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.76%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.10%EV -6.93%E -5.63%K -30.12%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 24.90%EV -9.73%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.14%E -2.46%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -6.93%E -5.63%K -30.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.17%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 25.83%EV -12.65%E -3.52%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -3.84%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -3.84%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -3.84%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -3.84%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -3.84%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -3.84%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -3.84%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.14%E -2.46%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.14%E -2.46%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.03%EV -8.44%E -6.98%K -40.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -16.06%E -4.65%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -17.28%E -5.08%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.30%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -18.49%E -5.52%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.96% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 24.04% | -0.3% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18% | 1.9% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13% | 2.4% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13% | 2.4% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.28% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.72% | 6.6% | 2026-09-01 21:30 |