Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Anastasia Potapova v Darja Semenistaja

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-01 21:34 UTC

Score final : Anastasia Potapova 2–0 Darja Semenistaja

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Anastasia Potapova (Local)

Prévision 75.67%1.32cote équitable
EV -2.39%
Avantage -1.85%
Kelly -8.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.07%75.71%75.17%78.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.181.251.251.2984.75%80.03%80.00%77.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Darja Semenistaja (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.33%4.11cote équitable
EV +9.49%
Avantage +2.11%
Kelly +2.71%
Croissance +0.257%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.33%24.29%24.83%26.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.353.843.754.5029.85%26.02%26.67%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Anastasia Potapova (Local) : 75.67% ; Darja Semenistaja (Visiteur) : 24.33%. Pour Darja Semenistaja (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.11. 18 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.50, soit une espérance positive de +9.49%.

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +9.49%E +2.11%K +2.71%G +0.257%4.2%2026-09-01 21:27
LowVig.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -6.17%E -4.98%K -25.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +7.05%E +1.60%K +2.07%G +0.146%3.4%2026-09-01 21:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -6.17%E -4.98%K -25.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +7.05%E +1.60%K +2.07%G +0.146%3.4%2026-09-01 21:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +5.84%E +1.34%K +1.74%G +0.102%5.0%2026-09-01 21:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +5.84%E +1.34%K +1.74%G +0.102%5.0%2026-09-01 08:20
Pinnacle🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.60%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.40%EV +5.35%E +1.24%K +1.61%G +0.086%3.1%2026-09-01 21:30
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +5.35%E +1.24%K +1.61%G +0.086%5.1%2026-09-01 06:09
GTbets🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +5.35%E +1.24%K +1.61%G +0.086%5.1%2026-09-01 06:20
1xBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -6.17%E -4.98%K -25.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +4.62%E +1.07%K +1.40%G +0.065%3.9%2026-09-01 04:05
Bet Right🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +4.62%E +1.07%K +1.40%G +0.065%5.2%2026-09-01 20:05
BetUS🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +4.62%E +1.07%K +1.40%G +0.065%5.2%2026-09-01 20:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +3.41%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036%5.5%2026-09-01 03:15
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +3.41%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036%5.5%2026-09-01 07:35
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +3.41%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036%5.5%2026-09-01 11:45
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +3.41%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036%5.5%2026-09-01 15:35
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +2.19%E +0.521%K +0.684%G +0.015%5.8%2026-09-01 03:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -9.20%E -7.66%K -45.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +2.19%E +0.521%K +0.684%G +0.015%7.1%2026-09-01 21:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV +0.972%E +0.234%K +0.309%G +0.003%6.1%2026-09-01 11:15
Neds🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.17%E -4.98%K -25.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.244%E -0.060%K -0.079%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 03:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.17%E -4.98%K -25.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.244%E -0.060%K -0.079%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 03:30
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.68%E -0.669%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 21:29
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.68%E -0.669%K -0.892%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 20:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -10.71%E -9.08%K -59.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -2.68%E -0.669%K -0.892%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-01 21:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.11%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 21:30
Fanatics🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.66%E -3.70%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.54%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 21:30
ReBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.54%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 21:30
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.54%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 21:26
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.80%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.20%EV -8.27%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:30
LeoVegas🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.66%E -3.70%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -8.76%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 21:30
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.76%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 21:30
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.76%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 21:30
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.76%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-01 21:30
Fliff🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.76%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-01 21:30
Betsson🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.10%EV -6.93%E -5.63%K -30.12%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 24.90%EV -9.73%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-01 21:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:30
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.14%E -2.46%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 21:30
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 21:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 21:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -6.93%E -5.63%K -30.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-01 21:30
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.17%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 25.83%EV -12.65%E -3.52%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 21:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -3.84%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 21:30
Casumo🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -3.84%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 21:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -3.84%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 21:30
Unibet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -3.84%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 21:30
betPARX🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -3.84%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 21:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -3.84%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 21:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -3.84%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 21:30
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 21:30
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 21:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 21:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 21:30
TABtouch🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.14%E -2.46%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 21:30
Grosvenor🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.14%E -2.46%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 21:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 21:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 21:30
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 21:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 21:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.03%EV -8.44%E -6.98%K -40.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -16.06%E -4.65%K -6.55%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-01 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -17.28%E -5.08%K -7.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-01 21:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.30%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -18.49%E -5.52%K -7.87%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-01 21:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.96%4.17I 23.98%NM 24.04%-0.3%2026-09-01 21:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-09-01 21:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-09-01 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.7%2026-09-01 21:30
Smarkets◎1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%1.9%2026-09-01 21:30
ProphetX◎1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13%2.4%2026-09-01 21:30
Matchbook◎1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13%2.4%2026-09-01 21:30
Novig◎1.28I 78.13%NM 73.28%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.72%6.6%2026-09-01 21:30