StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Anastasia Potapova v Darja Semenistaja

Matchstart: 2026-09-01 21:34 UTC

Slutresultat: Anastasia Potapova 2–0 Darja Semenistaja

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

61 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Anastasia Potapova (Hemma)

Prognos 75.67%1.32rättvist odds
EV -2.39%
Fördel -1.85%
Kelly -8.23%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.29

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
73.07%75.71%75.17%78.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.181.251.251.2984.75%80.03%80.00%77.52%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Darja Semenistaja (Borta)

Prognos 24.33%4.11rättvist odds
EV +9.49%
Fördel +2.11%
Kelly +2.71%
Tillväxt +0.257%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.33%24.29%24.83%26.93%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.353.843.754.5029.85%26.02%26.67%22.22%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Anastasia Potapova (Hemma): 75.67%; Darja Semenistaja (Borta): 24.33%. För Darja Semenistaja (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.11. 18 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.50, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +9.49%.

Spelbolagsodds (61 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +9.49%E +2.11%K +2.71%G +0.257%4.2%2026-09-01 21:27
LowVig.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -6.17%E -4.98%K -25.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +7.05%E +1.60%K +2.07%G +0.146%3.4%2026-09-01 21:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -6.17%E -4.98%K -25.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +7.05%E +1.60%K +2.07%G +0.146%3.4%2026-09-01 21:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +5.84%E +1.34%K +1.74%G +0.102%5.0%2026-09-01 21:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +5.84%E +1.34%K +1.74%G +0.102%5.0%2026-09-01 08:20
Pinnacle🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.60%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.40%EV +5.35%E +1.24%K +1.61%G +0.086%3.1%2026-09-01 21:30
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +5.35%E +1.24%K +1.61%G +0.086%5.1%2026-09-01 06:09
GTbets🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +5.35%E +1.24%K +1.61%G +0.086%5.1%2026-09-01 06:20
1xBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -6.17%E -4.98%K -25.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +4.62%E +1.07%K +1.40%G +0.065%3.9%2026-09-01 04:05
Bet Right🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +4.62%E +1.07%K +1.40%G +0.065%5.2%2026-09-01 20:05
BetUS🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +4.62%E +1.07%K +1.40%G +0.065%5.2%2026-09-01 20:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +3.41%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036%5.5%2026-09-01 03:15
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +3.41%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036%5.5%2026-09-01 07:35
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +3.41%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036%5.5%2026-09-01 11:45
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +3.41%E +0.801%K +1.05%G +0.036%5.5%2026-09-01 15:35
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +2.19%E +0.521%K +0.684%G +0.015%5.8%2026-09-01 03:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -9.20%E -7.66%K -45.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +2.19%E +0.521%K +0.684%G +0.015%7.1%2026-09-01 21:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV +0.972%E +0.234%K +0.309%G +0.003%6.1%2026-09-01 11:15
Neds🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.17%E -4.98%K -25.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.244%E -0.060%K -0.079%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 03:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.17%E -4.98%K -25.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.244%E -0.060%K -0.079%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 03:30
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.68%E -0.669%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 21:29
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.68%E -0.669%K -0.892%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 20:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -10.71%E -9.08%K -59.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -2.68%E -0.669%K -0.892%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-01 21:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.11%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 21:30
Fanatics🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.66%E -3.70%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.54%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 21:30
ReBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.54%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 21:30
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.54%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 21:26
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.80%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.20%EV -8.27%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:30
LeoVegas🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -4.66%E -3.70%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -8.76%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 21:30
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.76%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 21:30
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.76%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 21:30
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.76%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-01 21:30
Fliff🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.76%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-01 21:30
Betsson🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.10%EV -6.93%E -5.63%K -30.12%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 24.90%EV -9.73%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-01 21:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 21:30
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.14%E -2.46%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 21:30
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 21:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 21:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -6.93%E -5.63%K -30.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-01 21:30
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.17%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 25.83%EV -12.65%E -3.52%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 21:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -3.84%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 21:30
Casumo🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -3.84%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 21:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -3.84%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 21:30
Unibet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -3.84%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 21:30
betPARX🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -3.84%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 21:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -3.84%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 21:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -3.84%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 21:30
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 21:30
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 21:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 21:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.39%E -1.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 21:30
TABtouch🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.14%E -2.46%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 21:30
Grosvenor🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.14%E -2.46%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 21:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 21:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 21:30
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 21:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -3.90%E -3.07%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 21:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.03%EV -8.44%E -6.98%K -40.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -16.06%E -4.65%K -6.55%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-01 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -17.28%E -5.08%K -7.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-01 21:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.30%EV -7.68%E -6.30%K -34.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -18.49%E -5.52%K -7.87%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-01 21:30
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (8)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.96%4.17I 23.98%NM 24.04%-0.3%2026-09-01 21:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-09-01 21:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-09-01 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.7%2026-09-01 21:30
Smarkets◎1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%1.9%2026-09-01 21:30
ProphetX◎1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13%2.4%2026-09-01 21:30
Matchbook◎1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13%2.4%2026-09-01 21:30
Novig◎1.28I 78.13%NM 73.28%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.72%6.6%2026-09-01 21:30