Language:English
Karolina Muchova v Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Karolina Muchova (Local)
Prediction 75.48%1.32fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -6.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.92%75.34%75.40%77.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.251.251.3082.64%80.23%80.00%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Visit)
Prediction 24.52%4.08fair odd
EV +3.48%
Edge +0.825%
Kelly +1.08%
Growth +0.038%
assuming max odds 4.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.57%24.66%24.60%27.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.873.904.2228.57%25.81%25.64%23.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Karolina Muchova (Local): 75.48%; Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Visit): 24.52%. For Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.08. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.22, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.48%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.43%EV -7.16%E -5.82%K -31.14%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.57%EV +3.48%E +0.825%K +1.08%G +0.038% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 10:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +2.99%E +0.712%K +0.935%G +0.028% | 3.8% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.75%EV -2.63%E -2.04%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 24.25%EV -1.18%E -0.292%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-14 10:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.85%EV -3.39%E -2.65%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.15%EV -1.42%E -0.354%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 10:37 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 10:37 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 10:37 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.16%E -5.82%K -31.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 10:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 10:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.10%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.90%EV -2.40%E -0.604%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:37 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:37 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -7.16%E -5.82%K -31.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.90%E -3.89%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.37%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 10:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.37%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -6.41%E -5.17%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -4.37%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 10:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -4.37%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.90%E -3.89%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.59%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.59%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 10:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -8.67%E -7.17%K -41.29%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -5.59%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-14 10:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -8.67%E -7.17%K -41.29%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -5.59%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -3.39%E -2.65%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -6.08%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 10:36 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -3.39%E -2.65%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -6.08%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 10:37 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.14%E -3.26%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.41%E -5.17%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.41%E -5.17%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.41%E -5.17%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.14%E -3.26%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 10:28 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.41%E -5.17%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 10:36 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.41%E -5.17%K -26.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 10:36 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -7.16%E -5.82%K -31.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-14 10:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.39%E -2.65%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -11.72%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.90%E -3.89%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -11.72%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 10:37 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.90%E -3.89%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -11.72%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 10:37 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.72%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-14 10:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.43%EV -7.16%E -5.82%K -31.14%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.57%EV -12.21%E -3.41%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-14 10:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.88%E -1.44%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -14.17%E -4.05%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 0.3% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.3% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.3% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.3% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| Novig◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.98% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 24.02% | 2.8% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65% | 3.1% | 2026-04-14 10:38 |