Die Wettquotenschule

Karolina Muchova v Aliaksandra Sasnovich

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-14 10:40 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Karolina Muchova (Heim)

Prognose 75.48%1.32faire Quote
EV -1.88%
Vorteil -1.44%
Kelly -6.26%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.30

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
72.92%75.34%75.40%77.43%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.211.251.251.3082.64%80.23%80.00%76.92%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Auswärts)

Prognose 24.52%4.08faire Quote
EV +3.48%
Vorteil +0.825%
Kelly +1.08%
Wachstum +0.038%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.22

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.57%24.66%24.60%27.08%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.503.873.904.2228.57%25.81%25.64%23.70%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.43%EV -7.16%E -5.82%K -31.14%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.57%EV +3.48%E +0.825%K +1.08%G +0.038%5.0%2026-04-14 10:35
Winamax (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +2.99%E +0.712%K +0.935%G +0.028%3.8%2026-04-14 10:38
GTbets1.29I 77.52%NM 75.75%EV -2.63%E -2.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 24.25%EV -1.18%E -0.292%K -0.389%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-14 10:29
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 75.85%EV -3.39%E -2.65%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.15%EV -1.42%E -0.354%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-14 10:38
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:38
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:37
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:37
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:37
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:38
Bet Right1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.16%E -5.82%K -31.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 10:35
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:34
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:38
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:38
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:38
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:38
DraftKings1.25I 80.00%NM 76.10%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.90%EV -2.40%E -0.604%K -0.807%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:38
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:37
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:37
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Winamax (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -7.16%E -5.82%K -31.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 10:38
ReBet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.90%E -3.89%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.37%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:29
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.37%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 10:38
Unibet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -6.41%E -5.17%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -4.37%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 10:29
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -4.37%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 10:38
theScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.90%E -3.89%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.59%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.59%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 10:34
NetBet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -8.67%E -7.17%K -41.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -5.59%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 10:30
Fliff1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -8.67%E -7.17%K -41.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -5.59%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 10:38
LowVig.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -3.39%E -2.65%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -6.08%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 10:36
BetOnline.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -3.39%E -2.65%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -6.08%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 10:37
Coolbet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.14%E -3.26%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:38
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Codere (IT)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 10:38
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.41%E -5.17%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:38
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.41%E -5.17%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:38
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.41%E -5.17%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:38
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 10:38
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.14%E -3.26%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 10:28
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 10:38
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 10:38
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 10:38
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.41%E -5.17%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 10:36
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.41%E -5.17%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 10:36
PMU (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -7.16%E -5.82%K -31.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 10:38
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 10:38
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 10:29
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.39%E -2.65%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -11.72%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 10:38
TAB1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.90%E -3.89%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -11.72%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 10:37
Caesars1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.90%E -3.89%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -11.72%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 10:37
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.72%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 10:34
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.43%EV -7.16%E -5.82%K -31.14%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.57%EV -12.21%E -3.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 10:35
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.88%E -1.44%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -14.17%E -4.05%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 10:38
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
ProphetX1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%0.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-04-14 10:38
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 75.98%4.05I 24.69%NM 24.02%2.8%2026-04-14 10:38
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%3.1%2026-04-14 10:38