مدرسة الاحتمالات

Karolina Muchova v Aliaksandra Sasnovich

البداية: 2026-04-14 10:40 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Karolina Muchova (المضيف)

التنبؤ 75.48%1.32السعر العادل
EV -1.88%
الأفضلية -1.44%
Kelly -6.26%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
72.92%75.34%75.40%77.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.211.251.251.3082.64%80.23%80.00%76.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Aliaksandra Sasnovich (الضيف)

التنبؤ 24.52%4.08السعر العادل
EV +3.48%
الأفضلية +0.825%
Kelly +1.08%
النمو +0.038%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.22

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.57%24.66%24.60%27.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.503.873.904.2228.57%25.81%25.64%23.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.43%EV -7.16%E -5.82%K -31.14%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.57%EV +3.48%E +0.825%K +1.08%G +0.038%5.0%2026-04-14 10:35
Winamax (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +2.99%E +0.712%K +0.935%G +0.028%3.8%2026-04-14 10:38
GTbets1.29I 77.52%NM 75.75%EV -2.63%E -2.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 24.25%EV -1.18%E -0.292%K -0.389%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-14 10:29
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 75.85%EV -3.39%E -2.65%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.15%EV -1.42%E -0.354%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-14 10:38
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:38
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:37
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:37
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:37
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:38
Bet Right1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.16%E -5.82%K -31.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 10:35
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:34
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:38
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:38
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:38
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:38
DraftKings1.25I 80.00%NM 76.10%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.90%EV -2.40%E -0.604%K -0.807%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:38
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:37
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:37
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Winamax (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -7.16%E -5.82%K -31.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 10:38
ReBet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.90%E -3.89%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.37%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:29
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.37%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 10:38
Unibet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -6.41%E -5.17%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -4.37%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 10:29
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -4.37%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 10:38
theScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.90%E -3.89%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.59%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.59%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 10:34
NetBet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -8.67%E -7.17%K -41.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -5.59%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 10:30
Fliff1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -8.67%E -7.17%K -41.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -5.59%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 10:38
LowVig.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -3.39%E -2.65%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -6.08%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 10:36
BetOnline.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -3.39%E -2.65%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -6.08%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 10:37
Coolbet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.14%E -3.26%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:38
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Codere (IT)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 10:38
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.41%E -5.17%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:38
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.41%E -5.17%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:38
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.41%E -5.17%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:38
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 10:38
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.14%E -3.26%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 10:28
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 10:38
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 10:38
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 10:38
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.41%E -5.17%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 10:36
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.41%E -5.17%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 10:36
PMU (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -7.16%E -5.82%K -31.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 10:38
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 10:38
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 10:29
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.39%E -2.65%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -11.72%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 10:38
TAB1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.90%E -3.89%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -11.72%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 10:37
Caesars1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.90%E -3.89%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -11.72%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 10:37
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.72%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 10:34
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.43%EV -7.16%E -5.82%K -31.14%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.57%EV -12.21%E -3.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 10:35
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.88%E -1.44%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -14.17%E -4.05%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 10:38
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
ProphetX1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%0.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-04-14 10:38
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 75.98%4.05I 24.69%NM 24.02%2.8%2026-04-14 10:38
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%3.1%2026-04-14 10:38