A Escola das Odds

Karolina Muchova v Aliaksandra Sasnovich

Início: 2026-04-14 10:40 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Karolina Muchova (Local)

Previsão 75.48%1.32odd justa
EV -1.88%
Vantagem -1.44%
Kelly -6.26%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
72.92%75.34%75.40%77.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.211.251.251.3082.64%80.23%80.00%76.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Visitante)

Previsão 24.52%4.08odd justa
EV +3.48%
Vantagem +0.825%
Kelly +1.08%
Crescimento +0.038%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.57%24.66%24.60%27.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.503.873.904.2228.57%25.81%25.64%23.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.43%EV -7.16%E -5.82%K -31.14%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.57%EV +3.48%E +0.825%K +1.08%G +0.038%5.0%2026-04-14 10:35
Winamax (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +2.99%E +0.712%K +0.935%G +0.028%3.8%2026-04-14 10:38
GTbets1.29I 77.52%NM 75.75%EV -2.63%E -2.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 24.25%EV -1.18%E -0.292%K -0.389%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-14 10:29
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 75.85%EV -3.39%E -2.65%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.15%EV -1.42%E -0.354%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-14 10:38
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:38
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:37
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:37
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:37
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:38
Bet Right1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.16%E -5.82%K -31.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 10:35
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:34
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:38
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:38
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:38
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:38
DraftKings1.25I 80.00%NM 76.10%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.90%EV -2.40%E -0.604%K -0.807%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:38
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:37
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:37
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Winamax (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -7.16%E -5.82%K -31.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 10:38
ReBet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.90%E -3.89%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.37%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:29
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.37%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 10:38
Unibet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -6.41%E -5.17%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -4.37%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 10:29
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -4.37%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 10:38
theScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.90%E -3.89%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.59%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.59%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 10:34
NetBet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -8.67%E -7.17%K -41.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -5.59%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 10:30
Fliff1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -8.67%E -7.17%K -41.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -5.59%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 10:38
LowVig.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -3.39%E -2.65%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -6.08%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 10:36
BetOnline.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -3.39%E -2.65%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -6.08%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 10:37
Coolbet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.14%E -3.26%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:38
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Codere (IT)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 10:38
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.41%E -5.17%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:38
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.41%E -5.17%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:38
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.41%E -5.17%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:38
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 10:38
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.14%E -3.26%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 10:28
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 10:38
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 10:38
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 10:38
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.41%E -5.17%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 10:36
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.41%E -5.17%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 10:36
PMU (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -7.16%E -5.82%K -31.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 10:38
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 10:38
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 10:29
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.39%E -2.65%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -11.72%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 10:38
TAB1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.90%E -3.89%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -11.72%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 10:37
Caesars1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.90%E -3.89%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -11.72%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 10:37
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.72%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 10:34
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.43%EV -7.16%E -5.82%K -31.14%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.57%EV -12.21%E -3.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 10:35
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.88%E -1.44%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -14.17%E -4.05%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 10:38
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%0.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-04-14 10:38
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 75.98%4.05I 24.69%NM 24.02%2.8%2026-04-14 10:38
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%3.1%2026-04-14 10:38