L’École des cotes

Karolina Muchova v Aliaksandra Sasnovich

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-14 10:40 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Karolina Muchova (Local)

Prévision 75.48%1.32cote équitable
EV -1.88%
Avantage -1.44%
Kelly -6.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.92%75.34%75.40%77.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.211.251.251.3082.64%80.23%80.00%76.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.52%4.08cote équitable
EV +3.48%
Avantage +0.825%
Kelly +1.08%
Croissance +0.038%

avec la cote maximale 4.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.57%24.66%24.60%27.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.873.904.2228.57%25.81%25.64%23.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.43%EV -7.16%E -5.82%K -31.14%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.57%EV +3.48%E +0.825%K +1.08%G +0.038%5.0%2026-04-14 10:35
Winamax (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +2.99%E +0.712%K +0.935%G +0.028%3.8%2026-04-14 10:38
GTbets1.29I 77.52%NM 75.75%EV -2.63%E -2.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 24.25%EV -1.18%E -0.292%K -0.389%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-14 10:29
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 75.85%EV -3.39%E -2.65%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.15%EV -1.42%E -0.354%K -0.471%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-14 10:38
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:38
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:37
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:37
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:37
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:38
Bet Right1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.16%E -5.82%K -31.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 10:35
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:34
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:38
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:38
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:38
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.91%E -0.478%K -0.638%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:38
DraftKings1.25I 80.00%NM 76.10%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.90%EV -2.40%E -0.604%K -0.807%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:38
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:37
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:37
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Winamax (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -7.16%E -5.82%K -31.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 10:38
ReBet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.90%E -3.89%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.37%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 10:29
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.37%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 10:38
Unibet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -6.41%E -5.17%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -4.37%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 10:29
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -4.37%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 10:38
theScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.90%E -3.89%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.59%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.59%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 10:34
NetBet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -8.67%E -7.17%K -41.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -5.59%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 10:30
Fliff1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -8.67%E -7.17%K -41.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -5.59%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 10:38
LowVig.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -3.39%E -2.65%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -6.08%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 10:36
BetOnline.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -3.39%E -2.65%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -6.08%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 10:37
Coolbet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.14%E -3.26%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 10:38
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Codere (IT)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 10:38
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.41%E -5.17%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:38
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.41%E -5.17%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:38
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.41%E -5.17%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 10:38
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 10:38
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.14%E -3.26%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 10:28
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 10:38
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 10:38
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 10:38
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.41%E -5.17%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 10:36
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.41%E -5.17%K -26.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-14 10:36
PMU (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -7.16%E -5.82%K -31.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 10:38
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 10:38
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.92%E -6.49%K -35.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 10:29
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.39%E -2.65%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -11.72%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 10:38
TAB1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.90%E -3.89%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -11.72%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 10:37
Caesars1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.90%E -3.89%K -18.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -11.72%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 10:37
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.65%E -4.52%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.72%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 10:34
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.43%EV -7.16%E -5.82%K -31.14%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.57%EV -12.21%E -3.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 10:35
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.88%E -1.44%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -14.17%E -4.05%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 10:38
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%0.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-04-14 10:38
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-04-14 10:38
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 75.98%4.05I 24.69%NM 24.02%2.8%2026-04-14 10:38
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%3.1%2026-04-14 10:38