Language:English
Jelena Ostapenko v Mirra Andreeva
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jelena Ostapenko (Local)
Prediction 28.31%3.53fair odd
EV +1.91%
Edge +0.531%
Kelly +0.735%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.68%28.42%28.30%30.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.313.303.6032.26%30.24%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Mirra Andreeva (Visit)
Prediction 71.69%1.39fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -1.84%
Kelly -6.94%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.51%71.58%71.70%73.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.321.321.3678.74%75.53%75.76%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jelena Ostapenko (Local): 28.31%; Mirra Andreeva (Visit): 71.69%. For Jelena Ostapenko (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.53. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.91%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +1.91%E +0.531%K +0.735%G +0.014% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -0.072%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 14:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.921%E -0.263%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.921%E -0.263%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.921%E -0.263%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.34%E -0.677%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 14:48 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -2.34%E -0.677%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -8.23%E -6.43%K -29.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -3.19%E -0.931%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-15 14:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-15 14:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.95%E -7.05%K -33.15%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.37%EV -2.50%E -1.84%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-15 14:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.93%EV -4.32%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.07%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 14:57 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.93%E -2.94%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.93%E -2.94%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.30%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.70%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.17%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.93%E -2.94%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-15 14:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.17%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-15 14:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 14:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 14:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -7.52%E -5.83%K -25.92%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-15 14:56 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -10.83%E -3.44%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -10.83%E -3.44%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.50%E -1.84%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.50%E -1.84%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-15 14:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 14:58 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45% | 2.2% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |