La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jelena Ostapenko v Mirra Andreeva
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jelena Ostapenko (Local)
Predicción 28.31%3.53momio equitativo
EV +1.91%
Ventaja +0.531%
Kelly +0.735%
Crecimiento +0.014%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.68%28.42%28.30%30.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.313.303.6032.26%30.24%30.30%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Mirra Andreeva (Visitante)
Predicción 71.69%1.39momio equitativo
EV -2.50%
Ventaja -1.84%
Kelly -6.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.51%71.58%71.70%73.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.271.321.321.3678.74%75.53%75.76%73.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +1.91%E +0.531%K +0.735%G +0.014% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| 1xBet | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -0.072%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 14:59 |
| BoyleSports | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.921%E -0.263%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| FanDuel | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.921%E -0.263%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| Sky Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.921%E -0.263%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.34%E -0.677%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 14:48 |
| SportsBet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -2.34%E -0.677%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -8.23%E -6.43%K -29.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| Coolbet | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -3.19%E -0.931%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| Bet Right | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| Betsson | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-15 14:59 |
| NordicBet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-15 14:59 |
| BetMGM | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| Coral | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.95%E -7.05%K -33.15%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| Pinnacle | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.37%EV -2.50%E -1.84%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-15 14:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.93%EV -4.32%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.07%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 14:57 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.93%E -2.94%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.93%E -2.94%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| DraftKings | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.30%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.70%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| BetUS | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.17%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.93%E -2.94%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-15 14:59 |
| Fanatics | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.17%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| GTbets | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-15 14:59 |
| Betway | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 14:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 14:59 |
| Neds | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| PlayUp | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| Paddy Power | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -7.52%E -5.83%K -25.92%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| Unibet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| TABtouch | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| LeoVegas | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| Grosvenor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| Casumo | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| BetRivers | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| TAB | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| Bet Victor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-15 14:56 |
| Everygame | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -10.83%E -3.44%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -10.83%E -3.44%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.50%E -1.84%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| 888sport | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.50%E -1.84%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-15 14:59 |
| Caesars | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 14:58 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| Smarkets | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45% | 2.2% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |