La scuola delle quote

Jelena Ostapenko v Mirra Andreeva

Inizio: 2026-04-15 15:05 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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53 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Jelena Ostapenko (Casa)

Previsione 28.31%3.53quota equa
EV +1.91%
Vantaggio +0.531%
Kelly +0.735%
Crescita +0.014%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.68%28.42%28.30%30.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.313.303.6032.26%30.24%30.30%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Mirra Andreeva (Trasferta)

Previsione 71.69%1.39quota equa
EV -2.50%
Vantaggio -1.84%
Kelly -6.94%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.36

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.51%71.58%71.70%73.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.271.321.321.3678.74%75.53%75.76%73.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +1.91%E +0.531%K +0.735%G +0.014%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 15:00
1xBet3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -0.072%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 14:59
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.921%E -0.263%K -0.368%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 15:01
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.921%E -0.263%K -0.368%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 15:00
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.921%E -0.263%K -0.368%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 15:00
Unibet (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.34%E -0.677%K -0.954%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 14:48
SportsBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -2.34%E -0.677%K -0.954%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -8.23%E -6.43%K -29.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 15:01
Coolbet3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -3.19%E -0.931%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 15:01
Winamax (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-15 15:01
Bet Right3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 15:00
Betsson3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 14:59
NordicBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 14:59
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 15:00
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 15:00
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 15:01
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 15:00
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.95%E -7.05%K -33.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 15:00
Pinnacle3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.37%EV -2.50%E -1.84%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-15 14:59
Betclic (FR)3.38I 29.59%NM 27.93%EV -4.32%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.07%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 14:57
LowVig.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.93%E -2.94%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 15:00
BetOnline.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.93%E -2.94%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 15:00
DraftKings3.37I 29.67%NM 28.30%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.70%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 15:01
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.17%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.93%E -2.94%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 14:59
Fanatics3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.17%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 15:00
GTbets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 14:59
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 15:00
Marathon Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 14:59
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-15 15:01
Unibet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 14:59
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 15:01
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 15:00
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 15:01
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 15:00
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -7.52%E -5.83%K -25.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 15:01
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 15:01
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 15:00
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 15:00
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 15:01
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 15:00
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 15:01
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 15:00
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 15:01
Winamax (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-15 15:01
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 15:01
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 14:56
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 15:00
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -10.83%E -3.44%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 15:01
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -10.83%E -3.44%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 15:00
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.50%E -1.84%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 15:00
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.50%E -1.84%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 14:59
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 14:58
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-15 15:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%0.4%2026-04-15 15:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%0.4%2026-04-15 15:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%0.4%2026-04-15 15:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%0.4%2026-04-15 15:00
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%2.2%2026-04-15 15:00