默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Jelena Ostapenko v Mirra Andreeva

开赛时间: 2026-04-15 15:05 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

53 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Jelena Ostapenko (主队)

预测 28.31%3.53公平赔率
EV +1.91%
优势 +0.531%
Kelly +0.735%
增长率 +0.014%

假设最高赔率为 3.60

博彩公司预测分布
26.68%28.42%28.30%30.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.313.303.6032.26%30.24%30.30%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

Mirra Andreeva (客队)

预测 71.69%1.39公平赔率
EV -2.50%
优势 -1.84%
Kelly -6.94%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.36

博彩公司预测分布
69.51%71.58%71.70%73.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.271.321.321.3678.74%75.53%75.76%73.53%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Jelena Ostapenko (主队):28.31%;Mirra Andreeva (客队):71.69%。 对于“Jelena Ostapenko (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.53。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.60,对应+1.91%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (53 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Bovada🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +1.91%E +0.531%K +0.735%G +0.014%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 15:00
1xBet🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -0.072%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 14:59
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.921%E -0.263%K -0.368%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 15:01
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.921%E -0.263%K -0.368%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 15:00
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.921%E -0.263%K -0.368%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 15:00
Unibet (UK)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.34%E -0.677%K -0.954%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 14:48
SportsBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -2.34%E -0.677%K -0.954%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -8.23%E -6.43%K -29.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 15:01
Coolbet🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -3.19%E -0.931%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 15:01
Winamax (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-15 15:01
Bet Right🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 15:00
Betsson🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 14:59
NordicBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 14:59
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 15:00
Codere (IT)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 15:00
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 15:01
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 15:00
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.95%E -7.05%K -33.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 15:00
Pinnacle🎯3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.37%EV -2.50%E -1.84%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-15 14:59
Betclic (FR)🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 27.93%EV -4.32%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.07%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 14:57
LowVig.ag🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.93%E -2.94%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 15:00
BetOnline.ag🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.93%E -2.94%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 15:00
DraftKings🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.30%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.70%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 15:01
BetUS🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.17%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.93%E -2.94%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 14:59
Fanatics🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.17%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 15:00
GTbets🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 14:59
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 15:00
Marathon Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 14:59
Betr (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-15 15:01
Unibet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 14:59
Neds🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 15:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 15:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 15:01
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 15:00
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -7.52%E -5.83%K -25.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 15:01
Unibet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 15:01
Unibet (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 15:00
TABtouch🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 15:00
LeoVegas🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 15:01
Grosvenor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 15:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 15:01
Casumo🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 15:00
BetRivers🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 15:01
Winamax (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-15 15:01
TAB🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 15:01
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 14:56
Everygame🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 15:00
LiveScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -10.83%E -3.44%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 15:01
Virgin Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -10.83%E -3.44%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 15:00
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.50%E -1.84%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 15:00
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.50%E -1.84%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 14:59
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 14:58
PMU (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-15 15:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%0.4%2026-04-15 15:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%0.4%2026-04-15 15:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%0.4%2026-04-15 15:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%0.4%2026-04-15 15:00
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%2.2%2026-04-15 15:00