L’École des cotes

Jelena Ostapenko v Mirra Andreeva

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-15 15:05 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jelena Ostapenko (Local)

Prévision 28.31%3.53cote équitable
EV +1.91%
Avantage +0.531%
Kelly +0.735%
Croissance +0.014%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.68%28.42%28.30%30.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.313.303.6032.26%30.24%30.30%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Mirra Andreeva (Visiteur)

Prévision 71.69%1.39cote équitable
EV -2.50%
Avantage -1.84%
Kelly -6.94%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.51%71.58%71.70%73.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.271.321.321.3678.74%75.53%75.76%73.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +1.91%E +0.531%K +0.735%G +0.014%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 15:00
1xBet3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -0.072%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 14:59
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.921%E -0.263%K -0.368%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 15:01
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.921%E -0.263%K -0.368%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 15:00
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.921%E -0.263%K -0.368%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 15:00
Unibet (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.34%E -0.677%K -0.954%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 14:48
SportsBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -2.34%E -0.677%K -0.954%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -8.23%E -6.43%K -29.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 15:01
Coolbet3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -3.19%E -0.931%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 15:01
Winamax (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-15 15:01
Bet Right3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 15:00
Betsson3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 14:59
NordicBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 14:59
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 15:00
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 15:00
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 15:01
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 15:00
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.95%E -7.05%K -33.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 15:00
Pinnacle3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63%EV -4.03%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.37%EV -2.50%E -1.84%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-15 14:59
Betclic (FR)3.38I 29.59%NM 27.93%EV -4.32%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.07%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 14:57
LowVig.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.93%E -2.94%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 15:00
BetOnline.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.93%E -2.94%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 15:00
DraftKings3.37I 29.67%NM 28.30%EV -4.60%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.70%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 15:01
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.17%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.93%E -2.94%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 14:59
Fanatics3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.17%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 15:00
GTbets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 14:59
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 15:00
Marathon Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 14:59
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-15 15:01
Unibet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 14:59
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 15:01
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 15:00
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 15:01
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 15:00
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -7.52%E -5.83%K -25.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 15:01
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 15:01
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 15:00
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 15:00
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 15:01
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 15:00
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 15:01
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 15:00
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.22%E -2.38%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 15:01
Winamax (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-15 15:01
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 15:01
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 14:56
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 15:00
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -10.83%E -3.44%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 15:01
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -10.83%E -3.44%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 15:00
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.50%E -1.84%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 15:00
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.50%E -1.84%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 14:59
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.65%E -3.50%K -14.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 14:58
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -5.37%E -4.07%K -16.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-15 15:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%0.4%2026-04-15 15:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%0.4%2026-04-15 15:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%0.4%2026-04-15 15:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%0.4%2026-04-15 15:00
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%2.2%2026-04-15 15:00