Language:English
Peyton Stearns v Daria Kasatkina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Peyton Stearns (Local)
Prediction 49.13%2.04fair odd
EV +1.20%
Edge +0.581%
Kelly +1.13%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 2.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.79%48.83%49.08%51.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.941.942.0655.56%51.66%51.55%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Daria Kasatkina (Visit)
Prediction 50.87%1.97fair odd
EV -0.794%
Edge -0.407%
Kelly -0.836%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.52%51.17%50.92%54.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.841.831.9558.14%54.23%54.64%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Peyton Stearns (Local): 49.13%; Daria Kasatkina (Visit): 50.87%. For Peyton Stearns (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.06, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.20%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV +1.20%E +0.581%K +1.13%G +0.014% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -11.48%E -6.60%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.767%E -0.380%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.41%E -4.07%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-19 11:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.75%E -0.875%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 11:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.75%E -0.875%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.75%E -0.875%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.43%E -4.68%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -1.75%E -0.875%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -10.97%E -6.27%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-19 11:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -1.75%E -0.875%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -10.97%E -6.27%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-19 11:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -1.75%E -0.875%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -12.50%E -7.26%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 11:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.73%E -1.38%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -3.71%E -1.90%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -7.92%E -4.37%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -3.71%E -1.90%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -7.92%E -4.37%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.37%E -2.89%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 11:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.37%E -2.89%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 11:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.43%E -4.68%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.43%E -4.68%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-19 11:17 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -4.70%E -2.42%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -2.32%E -1.21%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.70%E -2.42%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-19 11:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.70%E -2.42%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%EV -5.19%E -2.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.74%EV -0.794%E -0.407%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.19%E -2.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -6.39%E -3.47%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -5.19%E -2.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -9.44%E -5.30%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.68%E -2.96%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 11:17 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-19 11:16 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -11.48%E -6.60%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.66%E -3.51%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.34%E -1.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.66%E -3.51%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.34%E -1.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -6.66%E -3.51%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -7.92%E -4.37%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-19 11:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.37%EV -6.66%E -3.51%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -9.44%E -5.30%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-19 11:17 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.64%E -4.07%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.64%E -4.07%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.64%E -4.07%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.88%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.64%E -4.07%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.88%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.14%E -4.35%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 11:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -8.63%E -4.64%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -1.30%E -0.671%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -8.63%E -4.64%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -1.30%E -0.671%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.88%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 11:12 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.57%E -6.43%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 1.1% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17% | 2.5% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |