L’École des cotes

Peyton Stearns v Daria Kasatkina

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-19 11:29 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Peyton Stearns (Local)

Prévision 49.13%2.04cote équitable
EV +1.20%
Avantage +0.581%
Kelly +1.13%
Croissance +0.014%

avec la cote maximale 2.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.79%48.83%49.08%51.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.941.942.0655.56%51.66%51.55%48.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Daria Kasatkina (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.87%1.97cote équitable
EV -0.794%
Avantage -0.407%
Kelly -0.836%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.52%51.17%50.92%54.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.841.831.9558.14%54.23%54.64%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV +1.20%E +0.581%K +1.13%G +0.014%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -11.48%E -6.60%K -15.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 11:20
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.767%E -0.380%K -0.752%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.41%E -4.07%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-19 11:15
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.75%E -0.875%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 11:19
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.75%E -0.875%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 11:20
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.75%E -0.875%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.43%E -4.68%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 11:20
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -1.75%E -0.875%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -10.97%E -6.27%K -14.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 11:19
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -1.75%E -0.875%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -10.97%E -6.27%K -14.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 11:19
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -1.75%E -0.875%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -12.50%E -7.26%K -17.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 11:19
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.73%E -1.38%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 11:20
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:20
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:20
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:20
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:20
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:20
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:20
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:20
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:20
Bally Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:20
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:20
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:20
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -3.71%E -1.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -7.92%E -4.37%K -9.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 11:20
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -3.71%E -1.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -7.92%E -4.37%K -9.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 11:20
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 11:20
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.37%E -2.89%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 11:09
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.37%E -2.89%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 11:09
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.43%E -4.68%K -10.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 11:20
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.43%E -4.68%K -10.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 11:17
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -4.70%E -2.42%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -2.32%E -1.21%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-19 11:20
LowVig.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.70%E -2.42%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 11:19
BetOnline.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.70%E -2.42%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 11:20
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%EV -5.19%E -2.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.74%EV -0.794%E -0.407%K -0.836%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-19 11:20
Codere (IT)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.19%E -2.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -6.39%E -3.47%K -7.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 11:20
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -5.19%E -2.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -9.44%E -5.30%K -12.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 11:20
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.68%E -2.96%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 11:17
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 11:16
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 11:20
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 11:20
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 11:20
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 11:20
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 11:20
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -11.48%E -6.60%K -15.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-19 11:20
Betway1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.66%E -3.51%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.34%E -1.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 11:20
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.66%E -3.51%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.34%E -1.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 11:20
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -6.66%E -3.51%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -7.92%E -4.37%K -9.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 11:09
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.37%EV -6.66%E -3.51%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -9.44%E -5.30%K -12.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-19 11:17
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.64%E -4.07%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 11:20
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.64%E -4.07%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 11:20
Neds1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.64%E -4.07%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.88%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.64%E -4.07%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.88%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 11:20
NetBet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.14%E -4.35%K -9.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 11:09
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -8.63%E -4.64%K -10.03%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -1.30%E -0.671%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 11:20
FanDuel1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -8.63%E -4.64%K -10.03%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -1.30%E -0.671%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 11:20
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.88%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 11:12
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-19 11:20
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-19 11:20
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.57%E -6.43%K -14.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 11:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-05-19 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-05-19 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-05-19 11:20
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-05-19 11:20
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-05-19 11:20
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.5%2026-05-19 11:20