مدرسة الاحتمالات

Peyton Stearns v Daria Kasatkina

البداية: 2026-05-19 11:29 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Peyton Stearns (المضيف)

التنبؤ 49.13%2.04السعر العادل
EV +1.20%
الأفضلية +0.581%
Kelly +1.13%
النمو +0.014%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.06

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.79%48.83%49.08%51.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.801.941.942.0655.56%51.66%51.55%48.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Daria Kasatkina (الضيف)

التنبؤ 50.87%1.97السعر العادل
EV -0.794%
الأفضلية -0.407%
Kelly -0.836%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
48.52%51.17%50.92%54.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.721.841.831.9558.14%54.23%54.64%51.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV +1.20%E +0.581%K +1.13%G +0.014%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -11.48%E -6.60%K -15.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 11:20
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.767%E -0.380%K -0.752%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.41%E -4.07%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-19 11:15
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.75%E -0.875%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 11:19
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.75%E -0.875%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 11:20
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.75%E -0.875%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.43%E -4.68%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 11:20
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -1.75%E -0.875%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -10.97%E -6.27%K -14.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 11:19
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -1.75%E -0.875%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -10.97%E -6.27%K -14.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 11:19
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -1.75%E -0.875%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -12.50%E -7.26%K -17.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 11:19
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.73%E -1.38%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 11:20
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:20
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:20
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:20
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:20
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:20
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:20
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:20
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:20
Bally Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:20
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:20
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:20
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -3.71%E -1.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -7.92%E -4.37%K -9.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 11:20
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -3.71%E -1.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -7.92%E -4.37%K -9.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 11:20
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 11:20
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.37%E -2.89%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 11:09
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.37%E -2.89%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 11:09
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.43%E -4.68%K -10.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 11:20
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.43%E -4.68%K -10.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 11:17
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -4.70%E -2.42%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -2.32%E -1.21%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-19 11:20
LowVig.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.70%E -2.42%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 11:19
BetOnline.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.70%E -2.42%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 11:20
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%EV -5.19%E -2.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.74%EV -0.794%E -0.407%K -0.836%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-19 11:20
Codere (IT)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.19%E -2.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -6.39%E -3.47%K -7.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 11:20
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -5.19%E -2.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -9.44%E -5.30%K -12.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 11:20
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.68%E -2.96%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 11:17
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 11:16
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 11:20
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 11:20
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 11:20
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 11:20
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 11:20
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -11.48%E -6.60%K -15.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-19 11:20
Betway1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.66%E -3.51%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.34%E -1.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 11:20
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.66%E -3.51%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.34%E -1.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 11:20
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -6.66%E -3.51%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -7.92%E -4.37%K -9.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 11:09
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.37%EV -6.66%E -3.51%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -9.44%E -5.30%K -12.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-19 11:17
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.64%E -4.07%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 11:20
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.64%E -4.07%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 11:20
Neds1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.64%E -4.07%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.88%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.64%E -4.07%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.88%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 11:20
NetBet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.14%E -4.35%K -9.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 11:09
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -8.63%E -4.64%K -10.03%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -1.30%E -0.671%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 11:20
FanDuel1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -8.63%E -4.64%K -10.03%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -1.30%E -0.671%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 11:20
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.88%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 11:12
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-19 11:20
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-19 11:20
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.57%E -6.43%K -14.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 11:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-05-19 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-05-19 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-05-19 11:20
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-05-19 11:20
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-05-19 11:20
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.5%2026-05-19 11:20