La scuola delle quote

Peyton Stearns v Daria Kasatkina

Inizio: 2026-05-19 11:29 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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57 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Peyton Stearns (Casa)

Previsione 49.13%2.04quota equa
EV +1.20%
Vantaggio +0.581%
Kelly +1.13%
Crescita +0.014%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.06

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.79%48.83%49.08%51.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.941.942.0655.56%51.66%51.55%48.54%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Daria Kasatkina (Trasferta)

Previsione 50.87%1.97quota equa
EV -0.794%
Vantaggio -0.407%
Kelly -0.836%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.52%51.17%50.92%54.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.721.841.831.9558.14%54.23%54.64%51.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
DraftKings2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV +1.20%E +0.581%K +1.13%G +0.014%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -11.48%E -6.60%K -15.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 11:20
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.767%E -0.380%K -0.752%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.41%E -4.07%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-19 11:15
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.75%E -0.875%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 11:19
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.75%E -0.875%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 11:20
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.75%E -0.875%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.43%E -4.68%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 11:20
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -1.75%E -0.875%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -10.97%E -6.27%K -14.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 11:19
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -1.75%E -0.875%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -10.97%E -6.27%K -14.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 11:19
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -1.75%E -0.875%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -12.50%E -7.26%K -17.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 11:19
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.73%E -1.38%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 11:20
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:20
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:20
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:20
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:20
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:20
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:20
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:20
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:20
Bally Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:20
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:20
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:20
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -3.71%E -1.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -7.92%E -4.37%K -9.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 11:20
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -3.71%E -1.90%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -7.92%E -4.37%K -9.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 11:20
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 11:20
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.37%E -2.89%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 11:09
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.37%E -2.89%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 11:09
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.43%E -4.68%K -10.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 11:20
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.43%E -4.68%K -10.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 11:17
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -4.70%E -2.42%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -2.32%E -1.21%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-19 11:20
LowVig.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.70%E -2.42%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 11:19
BetOnline.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.70%E -2.42%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 11:20
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%EV -5.19%E -2.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.74%EV -0.794%E -0.407%K -0.836%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-19 11:20
Codere (IT)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.19%E -2.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -6.39%E -3.47%K -7.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 11:20
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -5.19%E -2.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -9.44%E -5.30%K -12.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 11:20
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.68%E -2.96%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 11:17
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 11:16
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 11:20
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 11:20
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 11:20
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 11:20
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 11:20
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -11.48%E -6.60%K -15.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-19 11:20
Betway1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.66%E -3.51%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.34%E -1.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 11:20
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.66%E -3.51%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.34%E -1.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 11:20
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -6.66%E -3.51%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -7.92%E -4.37%K -9.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 11:09
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.37%EV -6.66%E -3.51%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -9.44%E -5.30%K -12.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-19 11:17
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.64%E -4.07%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 11:20
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.64%E -4.07%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 11:20
Neds1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.64%E -4.07%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.88%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.64%E -4.07%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.88%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 11:20
NetBet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.14%E -4.35%K -9.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 11:09
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -8.63%E -4.64%K -10.03%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -1.30%E -0.671%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 11:20
FanDuel1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -8.63%E -4.64%K -10.03%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -1.30%E -0.671%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 11:20
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.88%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 11:12
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-19 11:20
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-19 11:20
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.57%E -6.43%K -14.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 11:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-05-19 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-05-19 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-05-19 11:20
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-05-19 11:20
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-05-19 11:20
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.5%2026-05-19 11:20