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Peyton Stearns v Daria Kasatkina
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Peyton Stearns (Хозяева)
Прогноз 49.13%2.04справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.20%
Преимущество +0.581%
Kelly +1.13%
Рост +0.014%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.06
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
45.79%48.83%49.08%51.48%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.801.941.942.0655.56%51.66%51.55%48.54%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Daria Kasatkina (Гости)
Прогноз 50.87%1.97справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.794%
Преимущество -0.407%
Kelly -0.836%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.95
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
48.52%51.17%50.92%54.21%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.721.841.831.9558.14%54.23%54.64%51.28%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Peyton Stearns (Хозяева): 49.13%; Daria Kasatkina (Гости): 50.87%. Для исхода «Peyton Stearns (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.04. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 2.06, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.20%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (57 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV +1.20%E +0.581%K +1.13%G +0.014% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -11.48%E -6.60%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.767%E -0.380%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.41%E -4.07%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-19 11:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.75%E -0.875%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 11:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.75%E -0.875%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.75%E -0.875%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.43%E -4.68%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -1.75%E -0.875%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -10.97%E -6.27%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-19 11:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -1.75%E -0.875%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -10.97%E -6.27%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-19 11:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -1.75%E -0.875%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -12.50%E -7.26%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 11:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.73%E -1.38%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.22%E -1.64%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -3.71%E -1.90%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -7.92%E -4.37%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -3.71%E -1.90%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -7.92%E -4.37%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.37%E -2.89%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 11:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.37%E -2.89%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 11:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.43%E -4.68%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.43%E -4.68%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-19 11:17 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -4.70%E -2.42%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -2.32%E -1.21%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.70%E -2.42%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-19 11:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.70%E -2.42%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%EV -5.19%E -2.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.74%EV -0.794%E -0.407%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.19%E -2.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -6.39%E -3.47%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -5.19%E -2.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -9.44%E -5.30%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.68%E -2.96%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 11:17 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-19 11:16 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -11.48%E -6.60%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.66%E -3.51%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.34%E -1.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.66%E -3.51%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.34%E -1.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -6.66%E -3.51%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -7.92%E -4.37%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-19 11:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.37%EV -6.66%E -3.51%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -9.44%E -5.30%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-19 11:17 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.64%E -4.07%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.64%E -4.07%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.36%E -2.32%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.64%E -4.07%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.88%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.64%E -4.07%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.88%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.14%E -4.35%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 11:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -8.63%E -4.64%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -1.30%E -0.671%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -8.63%E -4.64%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -1.30%E -0.671%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.88%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 11:12 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.57%E -6.43%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 1.1% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17% | 2.5% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |