The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
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Elise Mertens v Leylah Fernandez

2026-10-19 04:00 UTC — WTA Ningbo Open

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Elise Mertens (Local)

Prediction 55.01%1.82fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -2.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.91%55.27%55.06%58.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.711.711.7860.98%58.44%58.48%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Leylah Fernandez (Visit)

Prediction 44.99%2.22fair odd
EV +2.57%
Edge +1.13%
Kelly +2.01%
Growth +0.052%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.84%44.73%44.94%46.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.112.102.2850.00%47.29%47.62%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Elise Mertens (Local): 55.01%; Leylah Fernandez (Visit): 44.99%. For Leylah Fernandez (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.22. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.28, producing a positive expected value of +2.57%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -9.78%E -5.96%K -15.28%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV +2.57%E +1.13%K +2.01%G +0.052%4.8%2026-10-18 15:34
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -9.23%E -5.59%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.03%E -0.467%K -0.857%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-18 14:54
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%EV -4.28%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -1.48%E -0.675%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-18 14:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -1.93%E -0.884%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -1.93%E -0.884%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 18:49
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:55
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:54
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:55
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:55
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:54
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 15:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 15:14
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 15:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.03%E -4.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.28%E -1.52%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-18 15:40
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 15:20
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 14:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-18 15:14
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 15:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.08%E -1.17%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-18 16:19
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.63%E -1.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-18 14:53
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.73%E -2.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-18 14:54
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 14:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 14:55
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 15:14
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 15:44
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 14:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-18 15:04
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-18 15:30
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-18 14:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-18 18:25
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-18 14:58
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-18 16:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.73%E -2.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -6.88%E -3.32%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 18:05
Betsson🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.28%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -6.88%E -3.32%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 15:20
NordicBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.28%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -6.88%E -3.32%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 15:20
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-18 14:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 16:19
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 15:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 15:44
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-18 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-18 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-18 15:14
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-18 15:14
ReBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -8.23%E -4.03%K -7.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-18 16:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -10.03%E -5.01%K -10.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-18 17:34
picklebet_au🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.03%E -5.01%K -10.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-18 15:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-10-18 19:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-10-18 19:15
ProphetX◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-10-18 18:40
Matchbook◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-10-18 17:30
Novig◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.61%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.39%1.5%2026-10-18 17:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%1.8%2026-10-18 16:55