The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Elise Mertens v Leylah Fernandez

Kickoff: 2026-10-19 04:04 UTC

Final: Elise Mertens 1–2 Leylah Fernandez

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Elise Mertens (Local)

Prediction 55.54%1.80fair odd
EV +1.09%
Edge +0.598%
Kelly +1.33%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.60%55.61%55.70%57.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.701.701.8261.35%58.72%58.82%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Leylah Fernandez (Visit)

Prediction 44.46%2.25fair odd
EV +0.028%
Edge +0.013%
Kelly +0.023%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.31%44.39%44.30%47.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.132.152.2550.00%46.99%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elise Mertens (Local): 55.54%; Leylah Fernandez (Visit): 44.46%. For Elise Mertens (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.80. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.82, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.09%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +1.09%E +0.598%K +1.33%G +0.014%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -10.20%E -5.05%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-19 03:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -1.13%E -0.637%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-18 16:19
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.80%E -1.60%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-18 14:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -2.80%E -1.60%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -7.08%E -3.39%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 23:04
ReBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.80%E -1.60%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-19 04:00
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.80%E -1.60%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.09%E -5.54%K -11.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-19 03:59
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.80%E -1.60%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.09%E -5.54%K -11.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-19 04:00
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.91%E -2.26%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 21:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.91%E -2.26%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 14:55
picklebet_au🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.91%E -2.26%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-19 03:04
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.47%E -2.60%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 14:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.47%E -2.60%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 16:19
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.47%E -2.60%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 15:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.47%E -2.60%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 15:44
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -5.02%E -2.94%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -0.416%E -0.186%K -0.336%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-19 03:55
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.02%E -2.94%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 21:30
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.02%E -2.94%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-19 04:03
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.02%E -2.94%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.75%E -2.71%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-18 21:15
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.02%E -2.94%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-18 14:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -5.02%E -2.94%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -11.09%E -5.54%K -11.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-18 17:34
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.58%E -3.28%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.97%E -1.84%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.58%E -3.28%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.97%E -1.84%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:55
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.58%E -3.28%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.97%E -1.84%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.58%E -3.28%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.97%E -1.84%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:54
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.58%E -3.28%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.97%E -1.84%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.58%E -3.28%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.97%E -1.84%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:55
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.58%E -3.28%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.97%E -1.84%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:55
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.58%E -3.28%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.97%E -1.84%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:54
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.58%E -3.28%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.97%E -1.84%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.58%E -3.28%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.97%E -1.84%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.58%E -3.28%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.97%E -1.84%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.58%E -3.28%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.97%E -1.84%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 15:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.58%E -3.28%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.97%E -1.84%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 15:14
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.58%E -3.28%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.97%E -1.84%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 15:30
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.58%E -3.28%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-19 03:54
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.58%E -3.28%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.75%E -2.71%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-19 04:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.58%E -3.28%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-18 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -6.13%E -3.63%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -0.416%E -0.186%K -0.336%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-19 03:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -6.13%E -3.63%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -0.416%E -0.186%K -0.336%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-19 03:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.13%E -3.63%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-19 03:55
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.13%E -3.63%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-19 03:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.13%E -3.63%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-18 15:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.69%E -3.98%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-19 03:55
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.69%E -3.98%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-19 03:49
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.34%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.19%E -0.998%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-19 03:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.34%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.19%E -0.998%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-19 03:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.34%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.19%E -0.998%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-19 03:55
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.34%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.19%E -0.998%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-19 03:55
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.24%E -4.34%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-18 14:58
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.24%E -4.34%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-18 15:14
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.24%E -4.34%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.86%E -4.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-18 15:14
DraftKings🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.80%E -4.70%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -0.861%E -0.386%K -0.700%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-19 03:54
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +0.028%E +0.013%K +0.023%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-19 03:55
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.42%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-19 03:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%EV -9.46%E -5.81%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.17%EV -8.42%E -4.09%K -7.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-19 01:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-10-19 04:00
ProphetX◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-10-19 04:00
Novig◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81%0.6%2026-10-19 04:00
Matchbook◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-10-19 04:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-10-19 04:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-10-19 04:00