StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Elise Mertens v Leylah Fernandez

2026-10-19 04:00 UTC — WTA Ningbo Open

Matchresultat

55 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Elise Mertens (Hemma)

Prognos 55.01%1.82rättvist odds
EV -2.08%
Fördel -1.17%
Kelly -2.66%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.78

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
53.91%55.27%55.06%58.16%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.641.711.711.7860.98%58.44%58.48%56.18%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Leylah Fernandez (Borta)

Prognos 44.99%2.22rättvist odds
EV +2.57%
Fördel +1.13%
Kelly +2.01%
Tillväxt +0.052%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.28

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
41.84%44.73%44.94%46.09%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.002.112.102.2850.00%47.29%47.62%43.86%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Elise Mertens (Hemma): 55.01%; Leylah Fernandez (Borta): 44.99%. För Leylah Fernandez (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.22. 1 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 2.28, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +2.57%.

Spelbolagsodds (55 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
DraftKings🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -9.78%E -5.96%K -15.28%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV +2.57%E +1.13%K +2.01%G +0.052%4.8%2026-10-18 15:34
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -1.03%E -0.467%K -0.857%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-18 19:20
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -9.23%E -5.59%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.03%E -0.467%K -0.857%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-18 14:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -1.93%E -0.884%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -1.93%E -0.884%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 18:49
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:55
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:54
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:55
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:55
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:54
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 15:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 15:14
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 15:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.03%E -4.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.28%E -1.52%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-18 15:40
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 15:20
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 14:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-18 15:14
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 15:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.08%E -1.17%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-18 16:19
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.63%E -1.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-18 14:53
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.73%E -2.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-18 14:54
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 14:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 14:55
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 15:14
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 15:44
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 14:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-18 15:04
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-18 15:30
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-18 14:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-18 18:25
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-18 14:58
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-18 16:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.73%E -2.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -6.88%E -3.32%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 18:05
Betsson🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.28%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -6.88%E -3.32%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 15:20
NordicBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.28%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -6.88%E -3.32%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 15:20
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-18 14:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 16:19
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 15:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 15:44
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-18 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-18 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-18 15:14
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-18 15:14
ReBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -8.23%E -4.03%K -7.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-18 16:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -10.03%E -5.01%K -10.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-18 17:34
picklebet_au🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.03%E -5.01%K -10.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-18 15:10
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-10-18 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-10-18 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-10-18 19:30
Matchbook◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-10-18 19:50
ProphetX◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-10-18 19:30
Novig◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.61%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.39%1.5%2026-10-18 19:30