Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Elise Mertens v Leylah Fernandez

2026-10-19 04:00 UTC — WTA Ningbo Open

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Elise Mertens (Local)

Prévision 55.01%1.82cote équitable
EV -2.08%
Avantage -1.17%
Kelly -2.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.91%55.27%55.06%58.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.641.711.711.7860.98%58.44%58.48%56.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Leylah Fernandez (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.99%2.22cote équitable
EV +2.57%
Avantage +1.13%
Kelly +2.01%
Croissance +0.052%

avec la cote maximale 2.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.84%44.73%44.94%46.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.112.102.2850.00%47.29%47.62%43.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Elise Mertens (Local) : 55.01% ; Leylah Fernandez (Visiteur) : 44.99%. Pour Leylah Fernandez (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.22. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.28, pour une espérance positive de +2.57%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
DraftKings🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -9.78%E -5.96%K -15.28%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV +2.57%E +1.13%K +2.01%G +0.052%4.8%2026-10-18 15:34
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -1.03%E -0.467%K -0.857%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-18 19:20
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -9.23%E -5.59%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.03%E -0.467%K -0.857%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-18 14:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -1.93%E -0.884%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -1.93%E -0.884%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 18:49
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:55
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:54
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:55
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:55
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:54
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 15:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 15:14
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 15:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.03%E -4.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.28%E -1.52%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-18 15:40
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 15:20
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 14:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-18 15:14
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 15:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.08%E -1.17%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-18 16:19
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.63%E -1.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-18 14:53
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.73%E -2.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-18 14:54
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 14:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 14:55
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 15:14
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 15:44
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 14:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-18 15:04
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-18 15:30
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-18 14:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-18 18:25
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-18 14:58
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-18 16:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.73%E -2.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -6.88%E -3.32%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 18:05
Betsson🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.28%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -6.88%E -3.32%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 15:20
NordicBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.28%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -6.88%E -3.32%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 15:20
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-18 14:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 16:19
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 15:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 15:44
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-18 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-18 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-18 15:14
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-18 15:14
ReBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -8.23%E -4.03%K -7.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-18 16:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -10.03%E -5.01%K -10.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-18 17:34
picklebet_au🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.03%E -5.01%K -10.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-18 15:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-10-18 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-10-18 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-10-18 19:30
Matchbook◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-10-18 19:50
ProphetX◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-10-18 19:30
Novig◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.61%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.39%1.5%2026-10-18 19:30