Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Elise Mertens v Leylah Fernandez

2026-10-19 04:00 UTC — WTA Ningbo Open

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Elise Mertens (Local)

Previsão 55.01%1.82odd justa
EV -2.08%
Vantagem -1.17%
Kelly -2.66%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.91%55.27%55.06%58.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.641.711.711.7860.98%58.44%58.48%56.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Leylah Fernandez (Visitante)

Previsão 44.99%2.22odd justa
EV +2.57%
Vantagem +1.13%
Kelly +2.01%
Crescimento +0.052%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.84%44.73%44.94%46.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.112.102.2850.00%47.29%47.62%43.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Elise Mertens (Local): 55.01%; Leylah Fernandez (Visitante): 44.99%. Para Leylah Fernandez (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 2.22. 1 casa de apostas oferece odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 2.28, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +2.57%.

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -9.78%E -5.96%K -15.28%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV +2.57%E +1.13%K +2.01%G +0.052%4.8%2026-10-18 15:34
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -1.03%E -0.467%K -0.857%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-18 19:20
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -9.23%E -5.59%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.03%E -0.467%K -0.857%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-18 14:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -1.93%E -0.884%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -1.93%E -0.884%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 18:49
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:55
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:54
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:55
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:55
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:54
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 15:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 15:14
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.83%E -1.31%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 15:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.03%E -4.16%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.28%E -1.52%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-18 15:40
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-18 15:20
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 14:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-18 15:14
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 15:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.08%E -1.17%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-18 16:19
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.63%E -1.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-18 14:53
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.73%E -2.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-18 14:54
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 14:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 14:55
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 15:14
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 15:44
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 14:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-18 15:04
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-18 15:30
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-18 14:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-18 18:25
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-18 14:58
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-18 16:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.73%E -2.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -6.88%E -3.32%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 18:05
Betsson🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.28%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -6.88%E -3.32%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 15:20
NordicBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.28%E -2.46%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -6.88%E -3.32%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 15:20
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.83%E -2.79%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-18 14:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 16:19
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 15:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 15:44
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-18 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-18 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-18 15:14
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.13%E -4.87%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-18 15:14
ReBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -5.38%E -3.13%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -8.23%E -4.03%K -7.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-18 16:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -5.93%E -3.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -10.03%E -5.01%K -10.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-18 17:34
picklebet_au🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.48%E -3.81%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.03%E -5.01%K -10.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-18 15:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-10-18 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-10-18 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-10-18 19:30
Matchbook◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-10-18 19:50
ProphetX◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-10-18 19:30
Novig◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.61%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.39%1.5%2026-10-18 19:30