A Escola das Odds

Simona Waltert v Ajla Tomljanovic

Início: 2026-03-17 18:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Simona Waltert (Local)

Previsão 27.29%3.66odd justa
EV +15.99%
Vantagem +3.76%
Kelly +4.92%
Crescimento +0.786%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.30%27.07%27.44%30.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.403.354.2532.26%29.39%29.85%23.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ajla Tomljanovic (Visitante)

Previsão 72.71%1.38odd justa
EV -1.12%
Vantagem -0.821%
Kelly -3.10%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.36

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.98%72.93%72.56%77.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.221.301.301.3681.97%76.76%76.92%73.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +15.99%E +3.76%K +4.92%G +0.786%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -11.30%E -9.26%K -51.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 17:15
Bovada3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +6.44%E +1.65%K +2.22%G +0.143%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -7.66%E -6.03%K -28.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 17:15
theScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +2.34%E +0.625%K +0.852%G +0.020%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.11%E -7.29%K -36.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 17:15
Winamax (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -0.387%E -0.106%K -0.146%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -9.11%E -7.29%K -36.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 17:15
Fanatics3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -0.387%E -0.106%K -0.146%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -9.84%E -7.94%K -41.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 17:15
DraftKings3.62I 27.62%NM 26.27%EV -1.21%E -0.333%K -0.460%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.73%EV -6.21%E -4.81%K -21.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 17:15
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.75%E -0.487%K -0.674%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.21%E -4.81%K -21.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 17:15
TAB3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -1.75%E -0.487%K -0.674%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -8.39%E -6.66%K -32.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -1.75%E -0.487%K -0.674%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.11%E -7.29%K -36.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 17:15
Pinnacle3.53I 28.33%NM 27.52%EV -3.66%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.48%EV -2.57%E -1.92%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-17 17:05
Hard Rock Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.75%E -3.63%K -15.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 17:15
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.21%E -4.81%K -21.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 17:15
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.66%E -6.03%K -28.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 17:15
Winamax (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.48%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.66%E -6.03%K -28.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 17:15
Casumo3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.85%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.02%E -3.05%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 17:15
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.85%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.02%E -3.05%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 17:15
betPARX3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.85%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.02%E -3.05%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 17:15
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.85%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 17:15
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.85%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 17:15
Fliff3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -5.85%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -9.11%E -7.29%K -36.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 17:15
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 17:05
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.21%E -4.81%K -21.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 17:15
PMU (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.21%E -4.81%K -21.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.21%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -8.39%E -6.66%K -32.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 17:15
1xBet3.38I 29.59%NM 28.69%EV -7.76%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.31%EV -1.12%E -0.821%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-17 16:59
Unibet (FR)3.38I 29.59%NM 28.24%EV -7.76%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.76%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 17:01
BetOnline.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -8.03%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.57%E -1.92%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 17:05
LowVig.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -8.03%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.57%E -1.92%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 17:05
Unibet (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 16:54
ReBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 16:54
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.02%E -3.05%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 17:15
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.02%E -3.05%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 17:15
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.02%E -3.05%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 17:15
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.02%E -3.05%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 17:15
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.75%E -3.63%K -15.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 17:05
BetRivers3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 17:15
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.57%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 17:15
SportsBet3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -9.39%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 17:10
GTbets3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.57%E -1.92%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 17:05
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 17:05
Marathon Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 17:05
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 17:05
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.94%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.21%E -4.81%K -21.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 17:15
Bet Right3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.57%E -1.92%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 17:06
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 17:10
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 17:05
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 17:06
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 17:15
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 17:15
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -4.02%E -3.05%K -12.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 17:15
Parions Sport (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -4.75%E -3.63%K -15.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 16:55
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 17:15
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 17:15
Bally Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 17:15
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.21%E -4.81%K -21.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 17:15
NetBet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -11.30%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.06%EV -8.39%E -6.66%K -32.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 17:00
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.67%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.48%E -4.21%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 16:59
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -15.40%E -4.97%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.30%E -2.48%K -9.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 17:13
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-03-17 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-03-17 17:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%1.2%2026-03-17 17:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%2.9%2026-03-17 17:15
Novig3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%2.9%2026-03-17 17:15
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%4.7%2026-03-17 17:15
ProphetX3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%4.7%2026-03-17 17:15